CEDAR email: Call for Abstracts: AGU Fall 2017 Meeting Session SH003: Solar Cycle 24 Prediction Retrospective

Pesnell, W. Dean (GSFC-6710) william.d.pesnell at nasa.gov
Fri Jul 28 17:42:18 MDT 2017

Please consider submitting an abstract to this special session at the AGU Fall Meeting this December.

SH003. Solar Cycle 24 Prediction Retrospective

Long-range predictions of solar activity are essential to our space weather forecast capability. In order to improve predictions it is important to understand why past predictions succeeded or failed. Solar Cycle 24 was a below-average cycle. There were peaks in the sunspot number in the Northern hemisphere in 2011 and in the Southern in 2014. Predictions of the amplitude of Solar Cycle 24 had values ranging from zero to unprecedentedly high levels of solar activity. With the rapid increase in the quality of solar data and the capability of numerical models, we are improving our ability to forecast the amplitude of the next sunspot cycle. Some questions this session would address include: How did predictions of Solar Cycle 24 compare with the actual cycle? How do recent advances constrain future predictions? Papers addressing the success and failure of predictions of Solar Cycle 24 are solicited for this special session.

Follow this link (or cut and paste it into your browser) to submit an abstract to this session https://agu.confex.com/agu/fm17/sa/papers/index.cgi?sessionid=25018

The Regular Abstracts Submission deadline is 2 August, 2017.

Please join us in New Orleans for a discussion on how to more accurately predict the next solar cycle.

The Conveners of SH03:
William Dean Pesnell, NASA / GSFC, Greenbelt, MD, United States
Douglas Alan Biesecker, NOAA Boulder, SWPC, Boulder, CO, United States
Lisa Upton, Space Systems Research Corporation, Alexandria, VA, United States
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