[Met_help] [rt.rap.ucar.edu #89651] History for BSS Calculation Using Climo Mean and STDev fields

John Halley Gotway via RT met_help at ucar.edu
Tue Jul 9 12:06:47 MDT 2019


----------------------------------------------------------------
  Initial Request
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John,  I am verifying probability wind speeds in grid stat and using the NCEP 2.5 climo data mean and stdev files.   When I run the data for probability of wind speeds > 15kts with the galwem 00 hr fcst as ground truth, I get ten lines of output in the pstd file where the vx_mask column is FULL_BIN1, FULL_BIN2, etc. up to FULL_BIN10.  So I have 10 BSS values for winds > 15kts - which one should I use for my BSS for 15 kts?  Should it always be the last bin (in my case bin 10)?

Below is my output:

VERSION MODEL DESC FCST_LEAD FCST_VALID_BEG  FCST_VALID_END  OBS_LEAD OBS_VALID_BEG   OBS_VALID_END   FCST_VAR          FCST_LEV OBS_VAR OBS_LEV OBTYPE VX_MASK    INTERP_MTHD INTERP_PN
TS FCST_THRESH OBS_THRESH COV_THRESH ALPHA LINE_TYPE TOTAL  N_THRESH BASER     BASER_NCL   BASER_NCU  RELIABILITY RESOLUTION UNCERTAINTY ROC_AUC  BRIER     BRIER_NCL   BRIER_NCU  BRIER
CL   BRIERCL_NCL BRIERCL_NCU BSS         BSS_SMPL   THRESH_1 THRESH_2 THRESH_3 THRESH_4 THRESH_5 THRESH_6 THRESH_7 THRESH_8 THRESH_9 THRESH_10 THRESH_11
V8.1    geps  NA   120000    20190302_120000 20190302_120000 000000   20190302_120000 20190302_120000 PROB(GUST>15.000) Z10      GUST    Z10     ANALYS FULL_BIN1  NEAREST     1
   ==0.10000   >15.       NA         0.05  PSTD        1202       11 0          0          0.0031857    0.021136  0            0         NA       0.021136  NA          NA          0.52
985  NA           NA          0.96011     NA               0      0.1      0.2      0.3      0.4      0.5      0.6      0.7      0.8       0.9         1
V8.1    geps  NA   120000    20190302_120000 20190302_120000 000000   20190302_120000 20190302_120000 PROB(GUST>15.000) Z10      GUST    Z10     ANALYS FULL_BIN2  NEAREST     1
   ==0.10000   >15.       NA         0.05  PSTD        1629       11 0          0          0.0023526    0.027251  0            0         NA       0.027251  NA          NA          0.11
262  NA           NA          0.75802     NA               0      0.1      0.2      0.3      0.4      0.5      0.6      0.7      0.8       0.9         1
V8.1    geps  NA   120000    20190302_120000 20190302_120000 000000   20190302_120000 20190302_120000 PROB(GUST>15.000) Z10      GUST    Z10     ANALYS FULL_BIN3  NEAREST     1
   ==0.10000   >15.       NA         0.05  PSTD        2923       11 0.0010263  0.00034911 0.0030134    0.020379  6.0188e-06   0.0010253  0.74543 0.021398   0.020419    0.022378   0.04
1323 NA           NA          0.48217    -19.87059         0      0.1      0.2      0.3      0.4      0.5      0.6      0.7      0.8       0.9         1
V8.1    geps  NA   120000    20190302_120000 20190302_120000 000000   20190302_120000 20190302_120000 PROB(GUST>15.000) Z10      GUST    Z10     ANALYS FULL_BIN4  NEAREST     1
   ==0.10000   >15.       NA         0.05  PSTD        5664       11 0.0019421  0.0010848  0.0034745    0.022443  4.8486e-05   0.0019383  0.80127 0.024333   0.02335     0.025315   0.04
0533  0.040004     0.041062   0.39969    -11.55347         0      0.1      0.2      0.3      0.4      0.5      0.6      0.7      0.8       0.9         1
V8.1    geps  NA   120000    20190302_120000 20190302_120000 000000   20190302_120000 20190302_120000 PROB(GUST>15.000) Z10      GUST    Z10     ANALYS FULL_BIN5  NEAREST     1
   ==0.10000   >15.       NA         0.05  PSTD       10374       11 0.012435   0.010476   0.014755     0.019542  0.00099411   0.01228    0.89487 0.030829   0.028763    0.032894   0.01
7946  0.015821     0.020071  -0.71782     -1.5104          0      0.1      0.2      0.3      0.4      0.5      0.6      0.7      0.8       0.9         1
V8.1    geps  NA   120000    20190302_120000 20190302_120000 000000   20190302_120000 20190302_120000 PROB(GUST>15.000) Z10      GUST    Z10     ANALYS FULL_BIN6  NEAREST     1
   ==0.10000   >15.       NA         0.05  PSTD       17403       11 0.059185   0.055776   0.062789     0.0095704 0.017498     0.055682   0.93349 0.047754   0.044205    0.051303   0.02
8075  0.024478     0.031672  -0.70096      0.14238         0      0.1      0.2      0.3      0.4      0.5      0.6      0.7      0.8       0.9         1
V8.1    geps  NA   120000    20190302_120000 20190302_120000 000000   20190302_120000 20190302_120000 PROB(GUST>15.000) Z10      GUST    Z10     ANALYS FULL_BIN7  NEAREST     1
   ==0.10000   >15.       NA         0.05  PSTD       24358       11 0.18462    0.1798     0.18954      0.0028116 0.0832       0.15054    0.94327 0.070148   0.064754    0.075541   0.13
21    0.12673      0.13747    0.46898      0.53401         0      0.1      0.2      0.3      0.4      0.5      0.6      0.7      0.8       0.9         1
V8.1    geps  NA   120000    20190302_120000 20190302_120000 000000   20190302_120000 20190302_120000 PROB(GUST>15.000) Z10      GUST    Z10     ANALYS FULL_BIN8  NEAREST     1
   ==0.10000   >15.       NA         0.05  PSTD       32646       11 0.38256    0.3773     0.38784      0.0069155 0.14997      0.23621    0.94531 0.093156   0.086045    0.10027    0.30
259   0.29518      0.30999    0.69214      0.60562         0      0.1      0.2      0.3      0.4      0.5      0.6      0.7      0.8       0.9         1
V8.1    geps  NA   120000    20190302_120000 20190302_120000 000000   20190302_120000 20190302_120000 PROB(GUST>15.000) Z10      GUST    Z10     ANALYS FULL_BIN9  NEAREST     1
   ==0.10000   >15.       NA         0.05  PSTD       46344       11 0.62496    0.62054    0.62935      0.020699  0.1318       0.23439    0.92723 0.12328    0.11466     0.1319     0.52
449   0.51502      0.53396    0.76495      0.47402         0      0.1      0.2      0.3      0.4      0.5      0.6      0.7      0.8       0.9         1
V8.1    geps  NA   120000    20190302_120000 20190302_120000 000000   20190302_120000 20190302_120000 PROB(GUST>15.000) Z10      GUST    Z10     ANALYS FULL_BIN10 NEAREST     1
   ==0.10000   >15.       NA         0.05  PSTD      113322       11 0.84667    0.84456    0.84875      0.060455  0.065607     0.12982    0.94008 0.12467    0.1172      0.13214    0.72
577   0.71796      0.73359    0.82822      0.039683        0      0.1      0.2      0.3      0.4      0.5      0.6      0.7      0.8       0.9         1
V8.1    geps  NA   120000    20190302_120000 20190302_120000 000000   20190302_120000 20190302_120000 PROB(GUST>25.000) Z10      GUST    Z10     ANALYS FULL_BIN1  NEAREST     1
   ==0.10000   >25.       NA         0.05  PSTD        1202       11 0          0          0.0031857    0.0027329 0            0         NA       0.0027329  0.0011271   0.0043388  0.00
25    0.00087391   0.0041261 -0.093178    NA               0      0.1      0.2      0.3      0.4      0.5      0.6      0.7      0.8       0.9         1
V8.1    geps  NA   120000    20190302_120000 20190302_120000 000000   20190302_120000 20190302_120000 PROB(GUST>25.000) Z10      GUST    Z10     ANALYS FULL_BIN2  NEAREST     1
   ==0.10000   >25.       NA         0.05  PSTD        1629       11 0          0          0.0023526    0.0031139 0            0         NA       0.0031139  0.0019357   0.0042921  0.00
25    0.0013021    0.0036979 -0.24555     NA               0      0.1      0.2      0.3      0.4      0.5      0.6      0.7      0.8       0.9         1
V8.1    geps  NA   120000    20190302_120000 20190302_120000 000000   20190302_120000 20190302_120000 PROB(GUST>25.000) Z10      GUST    Z10     ANALYS FULL_BIN3  NEAREST     1
   ==0.10000   >25.       NA         0.05  PSTD        2923       11 0          0          0.0013125    0.0030884 0            0         NA       0.0030884  0.0024359   0.003741   0.00
25    0.0018353    0.0031647 -0.23537     NA               0      0.1      0.2      0.3      0.4      0.5      0.6      0.7      0.8       0.9         1
V8.1    geps  NA   120000    20190302_120000 20190302_120000 000000   20190302_120000 20190302_120000 PROB(GUST>25.000) Z10      GUST    Z10     ANALYS FULL_BIN4  NEAREST     1
   ==0.10000   >25.       NA         0.05  PSTD        5664       11 0          0          0.00067776   0.003298  0            0         NA       0.003298   0.0029691   0.0036269  0.00
25    0.0021601    0.0028399 -0.31921     NA               0      0.1      0.2      0.3      0.4      0.5      0.6      0.7      0.8       0.9         1
V8.1    geps  NA   120000    20190302_120000 20190302_120000 000000   20190302_120000 20190302_120000 PROB(GUST>25.000) Z10      GUST    Z10     ANALYS FULL_BIN5  NEAREST     1
   ==0.10000   >25.       NA         0.05  PSTD       10374       11 0          2.7095e-20 0.00037016   0.002982  0            0         NA       0.002982   0.0028046   0.0031593  0.00
25    0.0023173    0.0026827 -0.19279     NA               0      0.1      0.2      0.3      0.4      0.5      0.6      0.7      0.8       0.9         1
V8.1    geps  NA   120000    20190302_120000 20190302_120000 000000   20190302_120000 20190302_120000 PROB(GUST>25.000) Z10      GUST    Z10     ANALYS FULL_BIN6  NEAREST     1
   ==0.10000   >25.       NA         0.05  PSTD       17403       11 0          1.355e-20  0.00022069   0.0031263 0            0         NA       0.0031263  0.0030258   0.0032268  0.00
25    0.0023937    0.0026063 -0.25053     NA               0      0.1      0.2      0.3      0.4      0.5      0.6      0.7      0.8       0.9         1
V8.1    geps  NA   120000    20190302_120000 20190302_120000 000000   20190302_120000 20190302_120000 PROB(GUST>25.000) Z10      GUST    Z10     ANALYS FULL_BIN7  NEAREST     1
   ==0.10000   >25.       NA         0.05  PSTD       24358       11 0          0          0.00015768   0.0037866 0            0         NA       0.0037866  0.0037263   0.003847   0.00
25    0.0024259    0.0025741 -0.51466     NA               0      0.1      0.2      0.3      0.4      0.5      0.6      0.7      0.8       0.9         1
V8.1    geps  NA   120000    20190302_120000 20190302_120000 000000   20190302_120000 20190302_120000 PROB(GUST>25.000) Z10      GUST    Z10     ANALYS FULL_BIN8  NEAREST     1
   ==0.10000   >25.       NA         0.05  PSTD       32646       11 0.031275   0.029441   0.033219     0.0031403 0.0084167    0.030297   0.86262 0.02502    0.023119    0.026921   0.03
0647  0.028751     0.032543   0.18361      0.17416         0      0.1      0.2      0.3      0.4      0.5      0.6      0.7      0.8       0.9         1
V8.1    geps  NA   120000    20190302_120000 20190302_120000 000000   20190302_120000 20190302_120000 PROB(GUST>25.000) Z10      GUST    Z10     ANALYS FULL_BIN9  NEAREST     1
   ==0.10000   >25.       NA         0.05  PSTD       46344       11 0.17105    0.16765    0.1745       0.033653  0.089951     0.14179    0.91467 0.085492   0.081765    0.089218   0.15
644   0.15265      0.16023    0.45353      0.39705         0      0.1      0.2      0.3      0.4      0.5      0.6      0.7      0.8       0.9         1
V8.1    geps  NA   120000    20190302_120000 20190302_120000 000000   20190302_120000 20190302_120000 PROB(GUST>25.000) Z10      GUST    Z10     ANALYS FULL_BIN10 NEAREST     1
   ==0.10000   >25.       NA         0.05  PSTD      113322       11 0.36601    0.36321    0.36882      0.043789  0.14388      0.23205    0.90658 0.13195    0.12831     0.13559    0.33
191   0.32788      0.33594    0.60244      0.43135         0      0.1      0.2      0.3      0.4      0.5      0.6      0.7      0.8       0.9         1
V8.1    geps  NA   120000    20190302_120000 20190302_120000 000000   20190302_120000 20190302_120000 PROB(GUST>35.000) Z10      GUST    Z10     ANALYS FULL       NEAREST     1
   ==0.10000   >35.       NA         0.05  PSTD      259920       11 0.053112   0.052257   0.053981     0.0069907 0.025567     0.050292   0.81314 0.031715   0.030836    0.032594  NA
     NA           NA         NA            0.36938         0      0.1      0.2      0.3      0.4      0.5      0.6      0.7      0.8       0.9         1
V8.1    geps  NA   120000    20190302_120000 20190302_120000 000000   20190302_120000 20190302_120000 PROB(GUST>50.000) Z10      GUST    Z10     ANALYS FULL_BIN1  NEAREST     1
   ==0.10000   >50.       NA         0.05  PSTD        1202       11 0          0          0.0031857    0.0025    0            0         NA       0.0025     0.00087391  0.0041261  0.00
25    0.00087391   0.0041261  0           NA               0      0.1      0.2      0.3      0.4      0.5      0.6      0.7      0.8       0.9         1
V8.1    geps  NA   120000    20190302_120000 20190302_120000 000000   20190302_120000 20190302_120000 PROB(GUST>50.000) Z10      GUST    Z10     ANALYS FULL_BIN2  NEAREST     1
   ==0.10000   >50.       NA         0.05  PSTD        1629       11 0          0          0.0023526    0.0025    0            0         NA       0.0025     0.0013021   0.0036979  0.00
25    0.0013021    0.0036979  0           NA               0      0.1      0.2      0.3      0.4      0.5      0.6      0.7      0.8       0.9         1
V8.1    geps  NA   120000    20190302_120000 20190302_120000 000000   20190302_120000 20190302_120000 PROB(GUST>50.000) Z10      GUST    Z10     ANALYS FULL_BIN3  NEAREST     1
   ==0.10000   >50.       NA         0.05  PSTD        2923       11 0          0          0.0013125    0.0025    0            0         NA       0.0025     0.0018353   0.0031647  0.00
25    0.0018353    0.0031647  0           NA               0      0.1      0.2      0.3      0.4      0.5      0.6      0.7      0.8       0.9         1
V8.1    geps  NA   120000    20190302_120000 20190302_120000 000000   20190302_120000 20190302_120000 PROB(GUST>50.000) Z10      GUST    Z10     ANALYS FULL_BIN4  NEAREST     1
   ==0.10000   >50.       NA         0.05  PSTD        5664       11 0          0          0.00067776   0.0025    0            0         NA       0.0025     0.0021601   0.0028399  0.00
25    0.0021601    0.0028399  0           NA               0      0.1      0.2      0.3      0.4      0.5      0.6      0.7      0.8       0.9         1
V8.1    geps  NA   120000    20190302_120000 20190302_120000 000000   20190302_120000 20190302_120000 PROB(GUST>50.000) Z10      GUST    Z10     ANALYS FULL_BIN5  NEAREST     1
   ==0.10000   >50.       NA         0.05  PSTD       10374       11 0          2.7095e-20 0.00037016   0.0025    0            0         NA       0.0025     0.0023173   0.0026827  0.00
25    0.0023173    0.0026827  0           NA               0      0.1      0.2      0.3      0.4      0.5      0.6      0.7      0.8       0.9         1
V8.1    geps  NA   120000    20190302_120000 20190302_120000 000000   20190302_120000 20190302_120000 PROB(GUST>50.000) Z10      GUST    Z10     ANALYS FULL_BIN6  NEAREST     1
   ==0.10000   >50.       NA         0.05  PSTD       17403       11 0          1.355e-20  0.00022069   0.0025    0            0         NA       0.0025     0.0023937   0.0026063  0.00
25    0.0023937    0.0026063  0           NA               0      0.1      0.2      0.3      0.4      0.5      0.6      0.7      0.8       0.9         1
V8.1    geps  NA   120000    20190302_120000 20190302_120000 000000   20190302_120000 20190302_120000 PROB(GUST>50.000) Z10      GUST    Z10     ANALYS FULL_BIN7  NEAREST     1
   ==0.10000   >50.       NA         0.05  PSTD       24358       11 0          0          0.00015768   0.0025    0            0         NA       0.0025     0.0024259   0.0025741  0.00
25    0.0024259    0.0025741  0           NA               0      0.1      0.2      0.3      0.4      0.5      0.6      0.7      0.8       0.9         1
V8.1    geps  NA   120000    20190302_120000 20190302_120000 000000   20190302_120000 20190302_120000 PROB(GUST>50.000) Z10      GUST    Z10     ANALYS FULL_BIN8  NEAREST     1
   ==0.10000   >50.       NA         0.05  PSTD       32646       11 0          0          0.00011766   0.0025    0            0         NA       0.0025     0.0024464   0.0025536  0.00
25    0.0024464    0.0025536  0           NA               0      0.1      0.2      0.3      0.4      0.5      0.6      0.7      0.8       0.9         1
V8.1    geps  NA   120000    20190302_120000 20190302_120000 000000   20190302_120000 20190302_120000 PROB(GUST>50.000) Z10      GUST    Z10     ANALYS FULL_BIN9  NEAREST     1
   ==0.10000   >50.       NA         0.05  PSTD       46344       11 0         -6.7757e-21 8.2883e-05   0.0025004 0            0         NA       0.0025004  0.0024648   0.0025361  0.00
25    0.0024644    0.0025356 -0.00017262  NA               0      0.1      0.2      0.3      0.4      0.5      0.6      0.7      0.8       0.9         1
V8.1    geps  NA   120000    20190302_120000 20190302_120000 000000   20190302_120000 20190302_120000 PROB(GUST>50.000) Z10      GUST    Z10     ANALYS FULL_BIN10 NEAREST     1
   ==0.10000   >50.       NA         0.05  PSTD      113322       11 0.019564   0.018774   0.020387     0.0022826 0.0029183    0.019181   0.59583 0.018545   0.017737    0.019353   0.02
0107  0.0193       0.020914   0.077688     0.033144        0      0.1      0.2      0.3      0.4      0.5      0.6      0.7      0.8       0.9         1

Thanks
Bob


----------------------------------------------------------------
  Complete Ticket History
----------------------------------------------------------------

Subject: BSS Calculation Using Climo Mean and STDev fields
From: John Halley Gotway
Time: Mon May 06 16:53:52 2019

Bob,

This is a ticket from a long time ago that we neglected to answer.  Is
this
still an issue or have you moved past it?

Thanks,
John

On Tue, Apr 9, 2019 at 10:07 AM robert.craig.2 at us.af.mil via RT <
met_help at ucar.edu> wrote:

>
> Tue Apr 09 10:07:16 2019: Request 89651 was acted upon.
> Transaction: Ticket created by robert.craig.2 at us.af.mil
>        Queue: met_help
>      Subject: BSS Calculation Using Climo Mean and STDev fields
>        Owner: Nobody
>   Requestors: robert.craig.2 at us.af.mil
>       Status: new
>  Ticket <URL:
https://rt.rap.ucar.edu/rt/Ticket/Display.html?id=89651 >
>
>
> John,  I am verifying probability wind speeds in grid stat and using
the
> NCEP 2.5 climo data mean and stdev files.   When I run the data for
> probability of wind speeds > 15kts with the galwem 00 hr fcst as
ground
> truth, I get ten lines of output in the pstd file where the vx_mask
column
> is FULL_BIN1, FULL_BIN2, etc. up to FULL_BIN10.  So I have 10 BSS
values
> for winds > 15kts - which one should I use for my BSS for 15 kts?
Should
> it always be the last bin (in my case bin 10)?
>
> Below is my output:
>
> VERSION MODEL DESC FCST_LEAD FCST_VALID_BEG  FCST_VALID_END
OBS_LEAD
> OBS_VALID_BEG   OBS_VALID_END   FCST_VAR          FCST_LEV OBS_VAR
OBS_LEV
> OBTYPE VX_MASK    INTERP_MTHD INTERP_PN
> TS FCST_THRESH OBS_THRESH COV_THRESH ALPHA LINE_TYPE TOTAL  N_THRESH
> BASER     BASER_NCL   BASER_NCU  RELIABILITY RESOLUTION UNCERTAINTY
> ROC_AUC  BRIER     BRIER_NCL   BRIER_NCU  BRIER
> CL   BRIERCL_NCL BRIERCL_NCU BSS         BSS_SMPL   THRESH_1
THRESH_2
> THRESH_3 THRESH_4 THRESH_5 THRESH_6 THRESH_7 THRESH_8 THRESH_9
THRESH_10
> THRESH_11
> V8.1    geps  NA   120000    20190302_120000 20190302_120000 000000
>  20190302_120000 20190302_120000 PROB(GUST>15.000) Z10      GUST
Z10
>  ANALYS FULL_BIN1  NEAREST     1
>    ==0.10000   >15.       NA         0.05  PSTD        1202       11
0
>       0          0.0031857    0.021136  0            0         NA
>  0.021136  NA          NA          0.52
> 985  NA           NA          0.96011     NA               0
0.1
> 0.2      0.3      0.4      0.5      0.6      0.7      0.8       0.9
>  1
> V8.1    geps  NA   120000    20190302_120000 20190302_120000 000000
>  20190302_120000 20190302_120000 PROB(GUST>15.000) Z10      GUST
Z10
>  ANALYS FULL_BIN2  NEAREST     1
>    ==0.10000   >15.       NA         0.05  PSTD        1629       11
0
>       0          0.0023526    0.027251  0            0         NA
>  0.027251  NA          NA          0.11
> 262  NA           NA          0.75802     NA               0
0.1
> 0.2      0.3      0.4      0.5      0.6      0.7      0.8       0.9
>  1
> V8.1    geps  NA   120000    20190302_120000 20190302_120000 000000
>  20190302_120000 20190302_120000 PROB(GUST>15.000) Z10      GUST
Z10
>  ANALYS FULL_BIN3  NEAREST     1
>    ==0.10000   >15.       NA         0.05  PSTD        2923       11
> 0.0010263  0.00034911 0.0030134    0.020379  6.0188e-06   0.0010253
> 0.74543 0.021398   0.020419    0.022378   0.04
> 1323 NA           NA          0.48217    -19.87059         0
0.1
> 0.2      0.3      0.4      0.5      0.6      0.7      0.8       0.9
>  1
> V8.1    geps  NA   120000    20190302_120000 20190302_120000 000000
>  20190302_120000 20190302_120000 PROB(GUST>15.000) Z10      GUST
Z10
>  ANALYS FULL_BIN4  NEAREST     1
>    ==0.10000   >15.       NA         0.05  PSTD        5664       11
> 0.0019421  0.0010848  0.0034745    0.022443  4.8486e-05   0.0019383
> 0.80127 0.024333   0.02335     0.025315   0.04
> 0533  0.040004     0.041062   0.39969    -11.55347         0
0.1
> 0.2      0.3      0.4      0.5      0.6      0.7      0.8       0.9
>  1
> V8.1    geps  NA   120000    20190302_120000 20190302_120000 000000
>  20190302_120000 20190302_120000 PROB(GUST>15.000) Z10      GUST
Z10
>  ANALYS FULL_BIN5  NEAREST     1
>    ==0.10000   >15.       NA         0.05  PSTD       10374       11
> 0.012435   0.010476   0.014755     0.019542  0.00099411   0.01228
> 0.89487 0.030829   0.028763    0.032894   0.01
> 7946  0.015821     0.020071  -0.71782     -1.5104          0
0.1
> 0.2      0.3      0.4      0.5      0.6      0.7      0.8       0.9
>  1
> V8.1    geps  NA   120000    20190302_120000 20190302_120000 000000
>  20190302_120000 20190302_120000 PROB(GUST>15.000) Z10      GUST
Z10
>  ANALYS FULL_BIN6  NEAREST     1
>    ==0.10000   >15.       NA         0.05  PSTD       17403       11
> 0.059185   0.055776   0.062789     0.0095704 0.017498     0.055682
>  0.93349 0.047754   0.044205    0.051303   0.02
> 8075  0.024478     0.031672  -0.70096      0.14238         0
0.1
> 0.2      0.3      0.4      0.5      0.6      0.7      0.8       0.9
>  1
> V8.1    geps  NA   120000    20190302_120000 20190302_120000 000000
>  20190302_120000 20190302_120000 PROB(GUST>15.000) Z10      GUST
Z10
>  ANALYS FULL_BIN7  NEAREST     1
>    ==0.10000   >15.       NA         0.05  PSTD       24358       11
> 0.18462    0.1798     0.18954      0.0028116 0.0832       0.15054
> 0.94327 0.070148   0.064754    0.075541   0.13
> 21    0.12673      0.13747    0.46898      0.53401         0
0.1
> 0.2      0.3      0.4      0.5      0.6      0.7      0.8       0.9
>  1
> V8.1    geps  NA   120000    20190302_120000 20190302_120000 000000
>  20190302_120000 20190302_120000 PROB(GUST>15.000) Z10      GUST
Z10
>  ANALYS FULL_BIN8  NEAREST     1
>    ==0.10000   >15.       NA         0.05  PSTD       32646       11
> 0.38256    0.3773     0.38784      0.0069155 0.14997      0.23621
> 0.94531 0.093156   0.086045    0.10027    0.30
> 259   0.29518      0.30999    0.69214      0.60562         0
0.1
> 0.2      0.3      0.4      0.5      0.6      0.7      0.8       0.9
>  1
> V8.1    geps  NA   120000    20190302_120000 20190302_120000 000000
>  20190302_120000 20190302_120000 PROB(GUST>15.000) Z10      GUST
Z10
>  ANALYS FULL_BIN9  NEAREST     1
>    ==0.10000   >15.       NA         0.05  PSTD       46344       11
> 0.62496    0.62054    0.62935      0.020699  0.1318       0.23439
> 0.92723 0.12328    0.11466     0.1319     0.52
> 449   0.51502      0.53396    0.76495      0.47402         0
0.1
> 0.2      0.3      0.4      0.5      0.6      0.7      0.8       0.9
>  1
> V8.1    geps  NA   120000    20190302_120000 20190302_120000 000000
>  20190302_120000 20190302_120000 PROB(GUST>15.000) Z10      GUST
Z10
>  ANALYS FULL_BIN10 NEAREST     1
>    ==0.10000   >15.       NA         0.05  PSTD      113322       11
> 0.84667    0.84456    0.84875      0.060455  0.065607     0.12982
> 0.94008 0.12467    0.1172      0.13214    0.72
> 577   0.71796      0.73359    0.82822      0.039683        0
0.1
> 0.2      0.3      0.4      0.5      0.6      0.7      0.8       0.9
>  1
> V8.1    geps  NA   120000    20190302_120000 20190302_120000 000000
>  20190302_120000 20190302_120000 PROB(GUST>25.000) Z10      GUST
Z10
>  ANALYS FULL_BIN1  NEAREST     1
>    ==0.10000   >25.       NA         0.05  PSTD        1202       11
0
>       0          0.0031857    0.0027329 0            0         NA
>  0.0027329  0.0011271   0.0043388  0.00
> 25    0.00087391   0.0041261 -0.093178    NA               0
0.1
> 0.2      0.3      0.4      0.5      0.6      0.7      0.8       0.9
>  1
> V8.1    geps  NA   120000    20190302_120000 20190302_120000 000000
>  20190302_120000 20190302_120000 PROB(GUST>25.000) Z10      GUST
Z10
>  ANALYS FULL_BIN2  NEAREST     1
>    ==0.10000   >25.       NA         0.05  PSTD        1629       11
0
>       0          0.0023526    0.0031139 0            0         NA
>  0.0031139  0.0019357   0.0042921  0.00
> 25    0.0013021    0.0036979 -0.24555     NA               0
0.1
> 0.2      0.3      0.4      0.5      0.6      0.7      0.8       0.9
>  1
> V8.1    geps  NA   120000    20190302_120000 20190302_120000 000000
>  20190302_120000 20190302_120000 PROB(GUST>25.000) Z10      GUST
Z10
>  ANALYS FULL_BIN3  NEAREST     1
>    ==0.10000   >25.       NA         0.05  PSTD        2923       11
0
>       0          0.0013125    0.0030884 0            0         NA
>  0.0030884  0.0024359   0.003741   0.00
> 25    0.0018353    0.0031647 -0.23537     NA               0
0.1
> 0.2      0.3      0.4      0.5      0.6      0.7      0.8       0.9
>  1
> V8.1    geps  NA   120000    20190302_120000 20190302_120000 000000
>  20190302_120000 20190302_120000 PROB(GUST>25.000) Z10      GUST
Z10
>  ANALYS FULL_BIN4  NEAREST     1
>    ==0.10000   >25.       NA         0.05  PSTD        5664       11
0
>       0          0.00067776   0.003298  0            0         NA
>  0.003298   0.0029691   0.0036269  0.00
> 25    0.0021601    0.0028399 -0.31921     NA               0
0.1
> 0.2      0.3      0.4      0.5      0.6      0.7      0.8       0.9
>  1
> V8.1    geps  NA   120000    20190302_120000 20190302_120000 000000
>  20190302_120000 20190302_120000 PROB(GUST>25.000) Z10      GUST
Z10
>  ANALYS FULL_BIN5  NEAREST     1
>    ==0.10000   >25.       NA         0.05  PSTD       10374       11
0
>       2.7095e-20 0.00037016   0.002982  0            0         NA
>  0.002982   0.0028046   0.0031593  0.00
> 25    0.0023173    0.0026827 -0.19279     NA               0
0.1
> 0.2      0.3      0.4      0.5      0.6      0.7      0.8       0.9
>  1
> V8.1    geps  NA   120000    20190302_120000 20190302_120000 000000
>  20190302_120000 20190302_120000 PROB(GUST>25.000) Z10      GUST
Z10
>  ANALYS FULL_BIN6  NEAREST     1
>    ==0.10000   >25.       NA         0.05  PSTD       17403       11
0
>       1.355e-20  0.00022069   0.0031263 0            0         NA
>  0.0031263  0.0030258   0.0032268  0.00
> 25    0.0023937    0.0026063 -0.25053     NA               0
0.1
> 0.2      0.3      0.4      0.5      0.6      0.7      0.8       0.9
>  1
> V8.1    geps  NA   120000    20190302_120000 20190302_120000 000000
>  20190302_120000 20190302_120000 PROB(GUST>25.000) Z10      GUST
Z10
>  ANALYS FULL_BIN7  NEAREST     1
>    ==0.10000   >25.       NA         0.05  PSTD       24358       11
0
>       0          0.00015768   0.0037866 0            0         NA
>  0.0037866  0.0037263   0.003847   0.00
> 25    0.0024259    0.0025741 -0.51466     NA               0
0.1
> 0.2      0.3      0.4      0.5      0.6      0.7      0.8       0.9
>  1
> V8.1    geps  NA   120000    20190302_120000 20190302_120000 000000
>  20190302_120000 20190302_120000 PROB(GUST>25.000) Z10      GUST
Z10
>  ANALYS FULL_BIN8  NEAREST     1
>    ==0.10000   >25.       NA         0.05  PSTD       32646       11
> 0.031275   0.029441   0.033219     0.0031403 0.0084167    0.030297
>  0.86262 0.02502    0.023119    0.026921   0.03
> 0647  0.028751     0.032543   0.18361      0.17416         0
0.1
> 0.2      0.3      0.4      0.5      0.6      0.7      0.8       0.9
>  1
> V8.1    geps  NA   120000    20190302_120000 20190302_120000 000000
>  20190302_120000 20190302_120000 PROB(GUST>25.000) Z10      GUST
Z10
>  ANALYS FULL_BIN9  NEAREST     1
>    ==0.10000   >25.       NA         0.05  PSTD       46344       11
> 0.17105    0.16765    0.1745       0.033653  0.089951     0.14179
> 0.91467 0.085492   0.081765    0.089218   0.15
> 644   0.15265      0.16023    0.45353      0.39705         0
0.1
> 0.2      0.3      0.4      0.5      0.6      0.7      0.8       0.9
>  1
> V8.1    geps  NA   120000    20190302_120000 20190302_120000 000000
>  20190302_120000 20190302_120000 PROB(GUST>25.000) Z10      GUST
Z10
>  ANALYS FULL_BIN10 NEAREST     1
>    ==0.10000   >25.       NA         0.05  PSTD      113322       11
> 0.36601    0.36321    0.36882      0.043789  0.14388      0.23205
> 0.90658 0.13195    0.12831     0.13559    0.33
> 191   0.32788      0.33594    0.60244      0.43135         0
0.1
> 0.2      0.3      0.4      0.5      0.6      0.7      0.8       0.9
>  1
> V8.1    geps  NA   120000    20190302_120000 20190302_120000 000000
>  20190302_120000 20190302_120000 PROB(GUST>35.000) Z10      GUST
Z10
>  ANALYS FULL       NEAREST     1
>    ==0.10000   >35.       NA         0.05  PSTD      259920       11
> 0.053112   0.052257   0.053981     0.0069907 0.025567     0.050292
>  0.81314 0.031715   0.030836    0.032594  NA
>      NA           NA         NA            0.36938         0
0.1
> 0.2      0.3      0.4      0.5      0.6      0.7      0.8       0.9
>  1
> V8.1    geps  NA   120000    20190302_120000 20190302_120000 000000
>  20190302_120000 20190302_120000 PROB(GUST>50.000) Z10      GUST
Z10
>  ANALYS FULL_BIN1  NEAREST     1
>    ==0.10000   >50.       NA         0.05  PSTD        1202       11
0
>       0          0.0031857    0.0025    0            0         NA
>  0.0025     0.00087391  0.0041261  0.00
> 25    0.00087391   0.0041261  0           NA               0
0.1
> 0.2      0.3      0.4      0.5      0.6      0.7      0.8       0.9
>  1
> V8.1    geps  NA   120000    20190302_120000 20190302_120000 000000
>  20190302_120000 20190302_120000 PROB(GUST>50.000) Z10      GUST
Z10
>  ANALYS FULL_BIN2  NEAREST     1
>    ==0.10000   >50.       NA         0.05  PSTD        1629       11
0
>       0          0.0023526    0.0025    0            0         NA
>  0.0025     0.0013021   0.0036979  0.00
> 25    0.0013021    0.0036979  0           NA               0
0.1
> 0.2      0.3      0.4      0.5      0.6      0.7      0.8       0.9
>  1
> V8.1    geps  NA   120000    20190302_120000 20190302_120000 000000
>  20190302_120000 20190302_120000 PROB(GUST>50.000) Z10      GUST
Z10
>  ANALYS FULL_BIN3  NEAREST     1
>    ==0.10000   >50.       NA         0.05  PSTD        2923       11
0
>       0          0.0013125    0.0025    0            0         NA
>  0.0025     0.0018353   0.0031647  0.00
> 25    0.0018353    0.0031647  0           NA               0
0.1
> 0.2      0.3      0.4      0.5      0.6      0.7      0.8       0.9
>  1
> V8.1    geps  NA   120000    20190302_120000 20190302_120000 000000
>  20190302_120000 20190302_120000 PROB(GUST>50.000) Z10      GUST
Z10
>  ANALYS FULL_BIN4  NEAREST     1
>    ==0.10000   >50.       NA         0.05  PSTD        5664       11
0
>       0          0.00067776   0.0025    0            0         NA
>  0.0025     0.0021601   0.0028399  0.00
> 25    0.0021601    0.0028399  0           NA               0
0.1
> 0.2      0.3      0.4      0.5      0.6      0.7      0.8       0.9
>  1
> V8.1    geps  NA   120000    20190302_120000 20190302_120000 000000
>  20190302_120000 20190302_120000 PROB(GUST>50.000) Z10      GUST
Z10
>  ANALYS FULL_BIN5  NEAREST     1
>    ==0.10000   >50.       NA         0.05  PSTD       10374       11
0
>       2.7095e-20 0.00037016   0.0025    0            0         NA
>  0.0025     0.0023173   0.0026827  0.00
> 25    0.0023173    0.0026827  0           NA               0
0.1
> 0.2      0.3      0.4      0.5      0.6      0.7      0.8       0.9
>  1
> V8.1    geps  NA   120000    20190302_120000 20190302_120000 000000
>  20190302_120000 20190302_120000 PROB(GUST>50.000) Z10      GUST
Z10
>  ANALYS FULL_BIN6  NEAREST     1
>    ==0.10000   >50.       NA         0.05  PSTD       17403       11
0
>       1.355e-20  0.00022069   0.0025    0            0         NA
>  0.0025     0.0023937   0.0026063  0.00
> 25    0.0023937    0.0026063  0           NA               0
0.1
> 0.2      0.3      0.4      0.5      0.6      0.7      0.8       0.9
>  1
> V8.1    geps  NA   120000    20190302_120000 20190302_120000 000000
>  20190302_120000 20190302_120000 PROB(GUST>50.000) Z10      GUST
Z10
>  ANALYS FULL_BIN7  NEAREST     1
>    ==0.10000   >50.       NA         0.05  PSTD       24358       11
0
>       0          0.00015768   0.0025    0            0         NA
>  0.0025     0.0024259   0.0025741  0.00
> 25    0.0024259    0.0025741  0           NA               0
0.1
> 0.2      0.3      0.4      0.5      0.6      0.7      0.8       0.9
>  1
> V8.1    geps  NA   120000    20190302_120000 20190302_120000 000000
>  20190302_120000 20190302_120000 PROB(GUST>50.000) Z10      GUST
Z10
>  ANALYS FULL_BIN8  NEAREST     1
>    ==0.10000   >50.       NA         0.05  PSTD       32646       11
0
>       0          0.00011766   0.0025    0            0         NA
>  0.0025     0.0024464   0.0025536  0.00
> 25    0.0024464    0.0025536  0           NA               0
0.1
> 0.2      0.3      0.4      0.5      0.6      0.7      0.8       0.9
>  1
> V8.1    geps  NA   120000    20190302_120000 20190302_120000 000000
>  20190302_120000 20190302_120000 PROB(GUST>50.000) Z10      GUST
Z10
>  ANALYS FULL_BIN9  NEAREST     1
>    ==0.10000   >50.       NA         0.05  PSTD       46344       11
0
>      -6.7757e-21 8.2883e-05   0.0025004 0            0         NA
>  0.0025004  0.0024648   0.0025361  0.00
> 25    0.0024644    0.0025356 -0.00017262  NA               0
0.1
> 0.2      0.3      0.4      0.5      0.6      0.7      0.8       0.9
>  1
> V8.1    geps  NA   120000    20190302_120000 20190302_120000 000000
>  20190302_120000 20190302_120000 PROB(GUST>50.000) Z10      GUST
Z10
>  ANALYS FULL_BIN10 NEAREST     1
>    ==0.10000   >50.       NA         0.05  PSTD      113322       11
> 0.019564   0.018774   0.020387     0.0022826 0.0029183    0.019181
>  0.59583 0.018545   0.017737    0.019353   0.02
> 0107  0.0193       0.020914   0.077688     0.033144        0
0.1
> 0.2      0.3      0.4      0.5      0.6      0.7      0.8       0.9
>  1
>
> Thanks
> Bob
>
>

------------------------------------------------
Subject: RE: [Non-DoD Source] Re: [rt.rap.ucar.edu #89651] BSS Calculation Using Climo Mean and STDev fields
From: robert.craig.2 at us.af.mil
Time: Tue May 07 07:13:51 2019

John, this is still an open question.  I am expecting to get 1 Brier
Skill Score and instead I am getting ten - one for each bin.  How do I
get the overall score?

Thanks
Bob

-----Original Message-----
From: John Halley Gotway via RT <met_help at ucar.edu>
Sent: Monday, May 6, 2019 5:54 PM
To: CRAIG, ROBERT J GS-12 USAF ACC 16 WS/WXN
<robert.craig.2 at us.af.mil>
Subject: [Non-DoD Source] Re: [rt.rap.ucar.edu #89651] BSS Calculation
Using Climo Mean and STDev fields

Bob,

This is a ticket from a long time ago that we neglected to answer.  Is
this still an issue or have you moved past it?

Thanks,
John

On Tue, Apr 9, 2019 at 10:07 AM robert.craig.2 at us.af.mil via RT <
met_help at ucar.edu> wrote:

>
> Tue Apr 09 10:07:16 2019: Request 89651 was acted upon.
> Transaction: Ticket created by robert.craig.2 at us.af.mil
>        Queue: met_help
>      Subject: BSS Calculation Using Climo Mean and STDev fields
>        Owner: Nobody
>   Requestors: robert.craig.2 at us.af.mil
>       Status: new
>  Ticket <URL:
>
https://usg01.safelinks.protection.office365.us/?url=https%3A%2F%2Frt.
>
rap.ucar.edu%2Frt%2FTicket%2FDisplay.html%3Fid%3D89651&data=02%7C0
>
1%7Crobert.craig.2%40us.af.mil%7Cdf652a27c7bb497b33e008d6d279caf8%7C83
>
31b18d2d8748efa35fac8818ebf9b4%7C1%7C1%7C636927817915670023&sdata=
> XpYaAAW%2FoX9DvCx5TudjnN4nRdIjUxUNV3i0u8oLo7Y%3D&reserved=0 >
>
>
> John,  I am verifying probability wind speeds in grid stat and using
the
> NCEP 2.5 climo data mean and stdev files.   When I run the data for
> probability of wind speeds > 15kts with the galwem 00 hr fcst as
> ground truth, I get ten lines of output in the pstd file where the
> vx_mask column is FULL_BIN1, FULL_BIN2, etc. up to FULL_BIN10.  So I
> have 10 BSS values for winds > 15kts - which one should I use for my
> BSS for 15 kts?  Should it always be the last bin (in my case bin
10)?
>
> Below is my output:
>
> VERSION MODEL DESC FCST_LEAD FCST_VALID_BEG  FCST_VALID_END
OBS_LEAD
> OBS_VALID_BEG   OBS_VALID_END   FCST_VAR          FCST_LEV OBS_VAR
OBS_LEV
> OBTYPE VX_MASK    INTERP_MTHD INTERP_PN
> TS FCST_THRESH OBS_THRESH COV_THRESH ALPHA LINE_TYPE TOTAL  N_THRESH
> BASER     BASER_NCL   BASER_NCU  RELIABILITY RESOLUTION UNCERTAINTY
> ROC_AUC  BRIER     BRIER_NCL   BRIER_NCU  BRIER
> CL   BRIERCL_NCL BRIERCL_NCU BSS         BSS_SMPL   THRESH_1
THRESH_2
> THRESH_3 THRESH_4 THRESH_5 THRESH_6 THRESH_7 THRESH_8 THRESH_9
> THRESH_10
> THRESH_11
> V8.1    geps  NA   120000    20190302_120000 20190302_120000 000000
>  20190302_120000 20190302_120000 PROB(GUST>15.000) Z10      GUST
Z10
>  ANALYS FULL_BIN1  NEAREST     1
>    ==0.10000   >15.       NA         0.05  PSTD        1202       11
0
>       0          0.0031857    0.021136  0            0         NA
>  0.021136  NA          NA          0.52
> 985  NA           NA          0.96011     NA               0
0.1
> 0.2      0.3      0.4      0.5      0.6      0.7      0.8       0.9
>  1
> V8.1    geps  NA   120000    20190302_120000 20190302_120000 000000
>  20190302_120000 20190302_120000 PROB(GUST>15.000) Z10      GUST
Z10
>  ANALYS FULL_BIN2  NEAREST     1
>    ==0.10000   >15.       NA         0.05  PSTD        1629       11
0
>       0          0.0023526    0.027251  0            0         NA
>  0.027251  NA          NA          0.11
> 262  NA           NA          0.75802     NA               0
0.1
> 0.2      0.3      0.4      0.5      0.6      0.7      0.8       0.9
>  1
> V8.1    geps  NA   120000    20190302_120000 20190302_120000 000000
>  20190302_120000 20190302_120000 PROB(GUST>15.000) Z10      GUST
Z10
>  ANALYS FULL_BIN3  NEAREST     1
>    ==0.10000   >15.       NA         0.05  PSTD        2923       11
> 0.0010263  0.00034911 0.0030134    0.020379  6.0188e-06   0.0010253
> 0.74543 0.021398   0.020419    0.022378   0.04
> 1323 NA           NA          0.48217    -19.87059         0
0.1
> 0.2      0.3      0.4      0.5      0.6      0.7      0.8       0.9
>  1
> V8.1    geps  NA   120000    20190302_120000 20190302_120000 000000
>  20190302_120000 20190302_120000 PROB(GUST>15.000) Z10      GUST
Z10
>  ANALYS FULL_BIN4  NEAREST     1
>    ==0.10000   >15.       NA         0.05  PSTD        5664       11
> 0.0019421  0.0010848  0.0034745    0.022443  4.8486e-05   0.0019383
> 0.80127 0.024333   0.02335     0.025315   0.04
> 0533  0.040004     0.041062   0.39969    -11.55347         0
0.1
> 0.2      0.3      0.4      0.5      0.6      0.7      0.8       0.9
>  1
> V8.1    geps  NA   120000    20190302_120000 20190302_120000 000000
>  20190302_120000 20190302_120000 PROB(GUST>15.000) Z10      GUST
Z10
>  ANALYS FULL_BIN5  NEAREST     1
>    ==0.10000   >15.       NA         0.05  PSTD       10374       11
> 0.012435   0.010476   0.014755     0.019542  0.00099411   0.01228
> 0.89487 0.030829   0.028763    0.032894   0.01
> 7946  0.015821     0.020071  -0.71782     -1.5104          0
0.1
> 0.2      0.3      0.4      0.5      0.6      0.7      0.8       0.9
>  1
> V8.1    geps  NA   120000    20190302_120000 20190302_120000 000000
>  20190302_120000 20190302_120000 PROB(GUST>15.000) Z10      GUST
Z10
>  ANALYS FULL_BIN6  NEAREST     1
>    ==0.10000   >15.       NA         0.05  PSTD       17403       11
> 0.059185   0.055776   0.062789     0.0095704 0.017498     0.055682
>  0.93349 0.047754   0.044205    0.051303   0.02
> 8075  0.024478     0.031672  -0.70096      0.14238         0
0.1
> 0.2      0.3      0.4      0.5      0.6      0.7      0.8       0.9
>  1
> V8.1    geps  NA   120000    20190302_120000 20190302_120000 000000
>  20190302_120000 20190302_120000 PROB(GUST>15.000) Z10      GUST
Z10
>  ANALYS FULL_BIN7  NEAREST     1
>    ==0.10000   >15.       NA         0.05  PSTD       24358       11
> 0.18462    0.1798     0.18954      0.0028116 0.0832       0.15054
> 0.94327 0.070148   0.064754    0.075541   0.13
> 21    0.12673      0.13747    0.46898      0.53401         0
0.1
> 0.2      0.3      0.4      0.5      0.6      0.7      0.8       0.9
>  1
> V8.1    geps  NA   120000    20190302_120000 20190302_120000 000000
>  20190302_120000 20190302_120000 PROB(GUST>15.000) Z10      GUST
Z10
>  ANALYS FULL_BIN8  NEAREST     1
>    ==0.10000   >15.       NA         0.05  PSTD       32646       11
> 0.38256    0.3773     0.38784      0.0069155 0.14997      0.23621
> 0.94531 0.093156   0.086045    0.10027    0.30
> 259   0.29518      0.30999    0.69214      0.60562         0
0.1
> 0.2      0.3      0.4      0.5      0.6      0.7      0.8       0.9
>  1
> V8.1    geps  NA   120000    20190302_120000 20190302_120000 000000
>  20190302_120000 20190302_120000 PROB(GUST>15.000) Z10      GUST
Z10
>  ANALYS FULL_BIN9  NEAREST     1
>    ==0.10000   >15.       NA         0.05  PSTD       46344       11
> 0.62496    0.62054    0.62935      0.020699  0.1318       0.23439
> 0.92723 0.12328    0.11466     0.1319     0.52
> 449   0.51502      0.53396    0.76495      0.47402         0
0.1
> 0.2      0.3      0.4      0.5      0.6      0.7      0.8       0.9
>  1
> V8.1    geps  NA   120000    20190302_120000 20190302_120000 000000
>  20190302_120000 20190302_120000 PROB(GUST>15.000) Z10      GUST
Z10
>  ANALYS FULL_BIN10 NEAREST     1
>    ==0.10000   >15.       NA         0.05  PSTD      113322       11
> 0.84667    0.84456    0.84875      0.060455  0.065607     0.12982
> 0.94008 0.12467    0.1172      0.13214    0.72
> 577   0.71796      0.73359    0.82822      0.039683        0
0.1
> 0.2      0.3      0.4      0.5      0.6      0.7      0.8       0.9
>  1
> V8.1    geps  NA   120000    20190302_120000 20190302_120000 000000
>  20190302_120000 20190302_120000 PROB(GUST>25.000) Z10      GUST
Z10
>  ANALYS FULL_BIN1  NEAREST     1
>    ==0.10000   >25.       NA         0.05  PSTD        1202       11
0
>       0          0.0031857    0.0027329 0            0         NA
>  0.0027329  0.0011271   0.0043388  0.00
> 25    0.00087391   0.0041261 -0.093178    NA               0
0.1
> 0.2      0.3      0.4      0.5      0.6      0.7      0.8       0.9
>  1
> V8.1    geps  NA   120000    20190302_120000 20190302_120000 000000
>  20190302_120000 20190302_120000 PROB(GUST>25.000) Z10      GUST
Z10
>  ANALYS FULL_BIN2  NEAREST     1
>    ==0.10000   >25.       NA         0.05  PSTD        1629       11
0
>       0          0.0023526    0.0031139 0            0         NA
>  0.0031139  0.0019357   0.0042921  0.00
> 25    0.0013021    0.0036979 -0.24555     NA               0
0.1
> 0.2      0.3      0.4      0.5      0.6      0.7      0.8       0.9
>  1
> V8.1    geps  NA   120000    20190302_120000 20190302_120000 000000
>  20190302_120000 20190302_120000 PROB(GUST>25.000) Z10      GUST
Z10
>  ANALYS FULL_BIN3  NEAREST     1
>    ==0.10000   >25.       NA         0.05  PSTD        2923       11
0
>       0          0.0013125    0.0030884 0            0         NA
>  0.0030884  0.0024359   0.003741   0.00
> 25    0.0018353    0.0031647 -0.23537     NA               0
0.1
> 0.2      0.3      0.4      0.5      0.6      0.7      0.8       0.9
>  1
> V8.1    geps  NA   120000    20190302_120000 20190302_120000 000000
>  20190302_120000 20190302_120000 PROB(GUST>25.000) Z10      GUST
Z10
>  ANALYS FULL_BIN4  NEAREST     1
>    ==0.10000   >25.       NA         0.05  PSTD        5664       11
0
>       0          0.00067776   0.003298  0            0         NA
>  0.003298   0.0029691   0.0036269  0.00
> 25    0.0021601    0.0028399 -0.31921     NA               0
0.1
> 0.2      0.3      0.4      0.5      0.6      0.7      0.8       0.9
>  1
> V8.1    geps  NA   120000    20190302_120000 20190302_120000 000000
>  20190302_120000 20190302_120000 PROB(GUST>25.000) Z10      GUST
Z10
>  ANALYS FULL_BIN5  NEAREST     1
>    ==0.10000   >25.       NA         0.05  PSTD       10374       11
0
>       2.7095e-20 0.00037016   0.002982  0            0         NA
>  0.002982   0.0028046   0.0031593  0.00
> 25    0.0023173    0.0026827 -0.19279     NA               0
0.1
> 0.2      0.3      0.4      0.5      0.6      0.7      0.8       0.9
>  1
> V8.1    geps  NA   120000    20190302_120000 20190302_120000 000000
>  20190302_120000 20190302_120000 PROB(GUST>25.000) Z10      GUST
Z10
>  ANALYS FULL_BIN6  NEAREST     1
>    ==0.10000   >25.       NA         0.05  PSTD       17403       11
0
>       1.355e-20  0.00022069   0.0031263 0            0         NA
>  0.0031263  0.0030258   0.0032268  0.00
> 25    0.0023937    0.0026063 -0.25053     NA               0
0.1
> 0.2      0.3      0.4      0.5      0.6      0.7      0.8       0.9
>  1
> V8.1    geps  NA   120000    20190302_120000 20190302_120000 000000
>  20190302_120000 20190302_120000 PROB(GUST>25.000) Z10      GUST
Z10
>  ANALYS FULL_BIN7  NEAREST     1
>    ==0.10000   >25.       NA         0.05  PSTD       24358       11
0
>       0          0.00015768   0.0037866 0            0         NA
>  0.0037866  0.0037263   0.003847   0.00
> 25    0.0024259    0.0025741 -0.51466     NA               0
0.1
> 0.2      0.3      0.4      0.5      0.6      0.7      0.8       0.9
>  1
> V8.1    geps  NA   120000    20190302_120000 20190302_120000 000000
>  20190302_120000 20190302_120000 PROB(GUST>25.000) Z10      GUST
Z10
>  ANALYS FULL_BIN8  NEAREST     1
>    ==0.10000   >25.       NA         0.05  PSTD       32646       11
> 0.031275   0.029441   0.033219     0.0031403 0.0084167    0.030297
>  0.86262 0.02502    0.023119    0.026921   0.03
> 0647  0.028751     0.032543   0.18361      0.17416         0
0.1
> 0.2      0.3      0.4      0.5      0.6      0.7      0.8       0.9
>  1
> V8.1    geps  NA   120000    20190302_120000 20190302_120000 000000
>  20190302_120000 20190302_120000 PROB(GUST>25.000) Z10      GUST
Z10
>  ANALYS FULL_BIN9  NEAREST     1
>    ==0.10000   >25.       NA         0.05  PSTD       46344       11
> 0.17105    0.16765    0.1745       0.033653  0.089951     0.14179
> 0.91467 0.085492   0.081765    0.089218   0.15
> 644   0.15265      0.16023    0.45353      0.39705         0
0.1
> 0.2      0.3      0.4      0.5      0.6      0.7      0.8       0.9
>  1
> V8.1    geps  NA   120000    20190302_120000 20190302_120000 000000
>  20190302_120000 20190302_120000 PROB(GUST>25.000) Z10      GUST
Z10
>  ANALYS FULL_BIN10 NEAREST     1
>    ==0.10000   >25.       NA         0.05  PSTD      113322       11
> 0.36601    0.36321    0.36882      0.043789  0.14388      0.23205
> 0.90658 0.13195    0.12831     0.13559    0.33
> 191   0.32788      0.33594    0.60244      0.43135         0
0.1
> 0.2      0.3      0.4      0.5      0.6      0.7      0.8       0.9
>  1
> V8.1    geps  NA   120000    20190302_120000 20190302_120000 000000
>  20190302_120000 20190302_120000 PROB(GUST>35.000) Z10      GUST
Z10
>  ANALYS FULL       NEAREST     1
>    ==0.10000   >35.       NA         0.05  PSTD      259920       11
> 0.053112   0.052257   0.053981     0.0069907 0.025567     0.050292
>  0.81314 0.031715   0.030836    0.032594  NA
>      NA           NA         NA            0.36938         0
0.1
> 0.2      0.3      0.4      0.5      0.6      0.7      0.8       0.9
>  1
> V8.1    geps  NA   120000    20190302_120000 20190302_120000 000000
>  20190302_120000 20190302_120000 PROB(GUST>50.000) Z10      GUST
Z10
>  ANALYS FULL_BIN1  NEAREST     1
>    ==0.10000   >50.       NA         0.05  PSTD        1202       11
0
>       0          0.0031857    0.0025    0            0         NA
>  0.0025     0.00087391  0.0041261  0.00
> 25    0.00087391   0.0041261  0           NA               0
0.1
> 0.2      0.3      0.4      0.5      0.6      0.7      0.8       0.9
>  1
> V8.1    geps  NA   120000    20190302_120000 20190302_120000 000000
>  20190302_120000 20190302_120000 PROB(GUST>50.000) Z10      GUST
Z10
>  ANALYS FULL_BIN2  NEAREST     1
>    ==0.10000   >50.       NA         0.05  PSTD        1629       11
0
>       0          0.0023526    0.0025    0            0         NA
>  0.0025     0.0013021   0.0036979  0.00
> 25    0.0013021    0.0036979  0           NA               0
0.1
> 0.2      0.3      0.4      0.5      0.6      0.7      0.8       0.9
>  1
> V8.1    geps  NA   120000    20190302_120000 20190302_120000 000000
>  20190302_120000 20190302_120000 PROB(GUST>50.000) Z10      GUST
Z10
>  ANALYS FULL_BIN3  NEAREST     1
>    ==0.10000   >50.       NA         0.05  PSTD        2923       11
0
>       0          0.0013125    0.0025    0            0         NA
>  0.0025     0.0018353   0.0031647  0.00
> 25    0.0018353    0.0031647  0           NA               0
0.1
> 0.2      0.3      0.4      0.5      0.6      0.7      0.8       0.9
>  1
> V8.1    geps  NA   120000    20190302_120000 20190302_120000 000000
>  20190302_120000 20190302_120000 PROB(GUST>50.000) Z10      GUST
Z10
>  ANALYS FULL_BIN4  NEAREST     1
>    ==0.10000   >50.       NA         0.05  PSTD        5664       11
0
>       0          0.00067776   0.0025    0            0         NA
>  0.0025     0.0021601   0.0028399  0.00
> 25    0.0021601    0.0028399  0           NA               0
0.1
> 0.2      0.3      0.4      0.5      0.6      0.7      0.8       0.9
>  1
> V8.1    geps  NA   120000    20190302_120000 20190302_120000 000000
>  20190302_120000 20190302_120000 PROB(GUST>50.000) Z10      GUST
Z10
>  ANALYS FULL_BIN5  NEAREST     1
>    ==0.10000   >50.       NA         0.05  PSTD       10374       11
0
>       2.7095e-20 0.00037016   0.0025    0            0         NA
>  0.0025     0.0023173   0.0026827  0.00
> 25    0.0023173    0.0026827  0           NA               0
0.1
> 0.2      0.3      0.4      0.5      0.6      0.7      0.8       0.9
>  1
> V8.1    geps  NA   120000    20190302_120000 20190302_120000 000000
>  20190302_120000 20190302_120000 PROB(GUST>50.000) Z10      GUST
Z10
>  ANALYS FULL_BIN6  NEAREST     1
>    ==0.10000   >50.       NA         0.05  PSTD       17403       11
0
>       1.355e-20  0.00022069   0.0025    0            0         NA
>  0.0025     0.0023937   0.0026063  0.00
> 25    0.0023937    0.0026063  0           NA               0
0.1
> 0.2      0.3      0.4      0.5      0.6      0.7      0.8       0.9
>  1
> V8.1    geps  NA   120000    20190302_120000 20190302_120000 000000
>  20190302_120000 20190302_120000 PROB(GUST>50.000) Z10      GUST
Z10
>  ANALYS FULL_BIN7  NEAREST     1
>    ==0.10000   >50.       NA         0.05  PSTD       24358       11
0
>       0          0.00015768   0.0025    0            0         NA
>  0.0025     0.0024259   0.0025741  0.00
> 25    0.0024259    0.0025741  0           NA               0
0.1
> 0.2      0.3      0.4      0.5      0.6      0.7      0.8       0.9
>  1
> V8.1    geps  NA   120000    20190302_120000 20190302_120000 000000
>  20190302_120000 20190302_120000 PROB(GUST>50.000) Z10      GUST
Z10
>  ANALYS FULL_BIN8  NEAREST     1
>    ==0.10000   >50.       NA         0.05  PSTD       32646       11
0
>       0          0.00011766   0.0025    0            0         NA
>  0.0025     0.0024464   0.0025536  0.00
> 25    0.0024464    0.0025536  0           NA               0
0.1
> 0.2      0.3      0.4      0.5      0.6      0.7      0.8       0.9
>  1
> V8.1    geps  NA   120000    20190302_120000 20190302_120000 000000
>  20190302_120000 20190302_120000 PROB(GUST>50.000) Z10      GUST
Z10
>  ANALYS FULL_BIN9  NEAREST     1
>    ==0.10000   >50.       NA         0.05  PSTD       46344       11
0
>      -6.7757e-21 8.2883e-05   0.0025004 0            0         NA
>  0.0025004  0.0024648   0.0025361  0.00
> 25    0.0024644    0.0025356 -0.00017262  NA               0
0.1
> 0.2      0.3      0.4      0.5      0.6      0.7      0.8       0.9
>  1
> V8.1    geps  NA   120000    20190302_120000 20190302_120000 000000
>  20190302_120000 20190302_120000 PROB(GUST>50.000) Z10      GUST
Z10
>  ANALYS FULL_BIN10 NEAREST     1
>    ==0.10000   >50.       NA         0.05  PSTD      113322       11
> 0.019564   0.018774   0.020387     0.0022826 0.0029183    0.019181
>  0.59583 0.018545   0.017737    0.019353   0.02
> 0107  0.0193       0.020914   0.077688     0.033144        0
0.1
> 0.2      0.3      0.4      0.5      0.6      0.7      0.8       0.9
>  1
>
> Thanks
> Bob
>
>



------------------------------------------------
Subject: BSS Calculation Using Climo Mean and STDev fields
From: John Halley Gotway
Time: Tue May 07 16:02:55 2019

Bob,

If you don't want to subset your results down into climatological
bins, you
can just include all the results in a single bin by using the default
setting in the Grid-Stat config file:
*climo_cdf_bins = 1;*

That should group all the data into the same climo bin.  Since you
have 10
different lines of output, I suspect you're using:

*climo_cdf_bins = 10;*

When you break the numbers down into 10 climo bins, you get 10
corresponding BSS values.  So how would you defined the "overall
score"
from these 10 BSS values?  I'm told that folks at NCEP compute the
mean of
those 10 BSS scores, but I don't know that that's very defensible
statistically.  I ran it by Tressa, and it didn't strike her as being
very
useful.

If you want one BSS score to summarize results, I'd suggest setting
climo_cdf_bins = 1.

Hope that helps clarify.

Thanks,
John

On Tue, May 7, 2019 at 7:14 AM robert.craig.2 at us.af.mil via RT <
met_help at ucar.edu> wrote:

>
> <URL: https://rt.rap.ucar.edu/rt/Ticket/Display.html?id=89651 >
>
> John, this is still an open question.  I am expecting to get 1 Brier
Skill
> Score and instead I am getting ten - one for each bin.  How do I get
the
> overall score?
>
> Thanks
> Bob
>
> -----Original Message-----
> From: John Halley Gotway via RT <met_help at ucar.edu>
> Sent: Monday, May 6, 2019 5:54 PM
> To: CRAIG, ROBERT J GS-12 USAF ACC 16 WS/WXN
<robert.craig.2 at us.af.mil>
> Subject: [Non-DoD Source] Re: [rt.rap.ucar.edu #89651] BSS
Calculation
> Using Climo Mean and STDev fields
>
> Bob,
>
> This is a ticket from a long time ago that we neglected to answer.
Is
> this still an issue or have you moved past it?
>
> Thanks,
> John
>
> On Tue, Apr 9, 2019 at 10:07 AM robert.craig.2 at us.af.mil via RT <
> met_help at ucar.edu> wrote:
>
> >
> > Tue Apr 09 10:07:16 2019: Request 89651 was acted upon.
> > Transaction: Ticket created by robert.craig.2 at us.af.mil
> >        Queue: met_help
> >      Subject: BSS Calculation Using Climo Mean and STDev fields
> >        Owner: Nobody
> >   Requestors: robert.craig.2 at us.af.mil
> >       Status: new
> >  Ticket <URL:
> >
https://usg01.safelinks.protection.office365.us/?url=https%3A%2F%2Frt.
> >
rap.ucar.edu%2Frt%2FTicket%2FDisplay.html%3Fid%3D89651&data=02%7C0
> >
1%7Crobert.craig.2%40us.af.mil%7Cdf652a27c7bb497b33e008d6d279caf8%7C83
> >
31b18d2d8748efa35fac8818ebf9b4%7C1%7C1%7C636927817915670023&sdata=
> > XpYaAAW%2FoX9DvCx5TudjnN4nRdIjUxUNV3i0u8oLo7Y%3D&reserved=0 >
> >
> >
> > John,  I am verifying probability wind speeds in grid stat and
using the
> > NCEP 2.5 climo data mean and stdev files.   When I run the data
for
> > probability of wind speeds > 15kts with the galwem 00 hr fcst as
> > ground truth, I get ten lines of output in the pstd file where the
> > vx_mask column is FULL_BIN1, FULL_BIN2, etc. up to FULL_BIN10.  So
I
> > have 10 BSS values for winds > 15kts - which one should I use for
my
> > BSS for 15 kts?  Should it always be the last bin (in my case bin
10)?
> >
> > Below is my output:
> >
> > VERSION MODEL DESC FCST_LEAD FCST_VALID_BEG  FCST_VALID_END
OBS_LEAD
> > OBS_VALID_BEG   OBS_VALID_END   FCST_VAR          FCST_LEV OBS_VAR
> OBS_LEV
> > OBTYPE VX_MASK    INTERP_MTHD INTERP_PN
> > TS FCST_THRESH OBS_THRESH COV_THRESH ALPHA LINE_TYPE TOTAL
N_THRESH
> > BASER     BASER_NCL   BASER_NCU  RELIABILITY RESOLUTION
UNCERTAINTY
> > ROC_AUC  BRIER     BRIER_NCL   BRIER_NCU  BRIER
> > CL   BRIERCL_NCL BRIERCL_NCU BSS         BSS_SMPL   THRESH_1
THRESH_2
> > THRESH_3 THRESH_4 THRESH_5 THRESH_6 THRESH_7 THRESH_8 THRESH_9
> > THRESH_10
> > THRESH_11
> > V8.1    geps  NA   120000    20190302_120000 20190302_120000
000000
> >  20190302_120000 20190302_120000 PROB(GUST>15.000) Z10      GUST
Z10
> >  ANALYS FULL_BIN1  NEAREST     1
> >    ==0.10000   >15.       NA         0.05  PSTD        1202
11 0
> >       0          0.0031857    0.021136  0            0         NA
> >  0.021136  NA          NA          0.52
> > 985  NA           NA          0.96011     NA               0
0.1
> > 0.2      0.3      0.4      0.5      0.6      0.7      0.8
0.9
> >  1
> > V8.1    geps  NA   120000    20190302_120000 20190302_120000
000000
> >  20190302_120000 20190302_120000 PROB(GUST>15.000) Z10      GUST
Z10
> >  ANALYS FULL_BIN2  NEAREST     1
> >    ==0.10000   >15.       NA         0.05  PSTD        1629
11 0
> >       0          0.0023526    0.027251  0            0         NA
> >  0.027251  NA          NA          0.11
> > 262  NA           NA          0.75802     NA               0
0.1
> > 0.2      0.3      0.4      0.5      0.6      0.7      0.8
0.9
> >  1
> > V8.1    geps  NA   120000    20190302_120000 20190302_120000
000000
> >  20190302_120000 20190302_120000 PROB(GUST>15.000) Z10      GUST
Z10
> >  ANALYS FULL_BIN3  NEAREST     1
> >    ==0.10000   >15.       NA         0.05  PSTD        2923
11
> > 0.0010263  0.00034911 0.0030134    0.020379  6.0188e-06
0.0010253
> > 0.74543 0.021398   0.020419    0.022378   0.04
> > 1323 NA           NA          0.48217    -19.87059         0
0.1
> > 0.2      0.3      0.4      0.5      0.6      0.7      0.8
0.9
> >  1
> > V8.1    geps  NA   120000    20190302_120000 20190302_120000
000000
> >  20190302_120000 20190302_120000 PROB(GUST>15.000) Z10      GUST
Z10
> >  ANALYS FULL_BIN4  NEAREST     1
> >    ==0.10000   >15.       NA         0.05  PSTD        5664
11
> > 0.0019421  0.0010848  0.0034745    0.022443  4.8486e-05
0.0019383
> > 0.80127 0.024333   0.02335     0.025315   0.04
> > 0533  0.040004     0.041062   0.39969    -11.55347         0
0.1
> > 0.2      0.3      0.4      0.5      0.6      0.7      0.8
0.9
> >  1
> > V8.1    geps  NA   120000    20190302_120000 20190302_120000
000000
> >  20190302_120000 20190302_120000 PROB(GUST>15.000) Z10      GUST
Z10
> >  ANALYS FULL_BIN5  NEAREST     1
> >    ==0.10000   >15.       NA         0.05  PSTD       10374
11
> > 0.012435   0.010476   0.014755     0.019542  0.00099411   0.01228
> > 0.89487 0.030829   0.028763    0.032894   0.01
> > 7946  0.015821     0.020071  -0.71782     -1.5104          0
0.1
> > 0.2      0.3      0.4      0.5      0.6      0.7      0.8
0.9
> >  1
> > V8.1    geps  NA   120000    20190302_120000 20190302_120000
000000
> >  20190302_120000 20190302_120000 PROB(GUST>15.000) Z10      GUST
Z10
> >  ANALYS FULL_BIN6  NEAREST     1
> >    ==0.10000   >15.       NA         0.05  PSTD       17403
11
> > 0.059185   0.055776   0.062789     0.0095704 0.017498     0.055682
> >  0.93349 0.047754   0.044205    0.051303   0.02
> > 8075  0.024478     0.031672  -0.70096      0.14238         0
0.1
> > 0.2      0.3      0.4      0.5      0.6      0.7      0.8
0.9
> >  1
> > V8.1    geps  NA   120000    20190302_120000 20190302_120000
000000
> >  20190302_120000 20190302_120000 PROB(GUST>15.000) Z10      GUST
Z10
> >  ANALYS FULL_BIN7  NEAREST     1
> >    ==0.10000   >15.       NA         0.05  PSTD       24358
11
> > 0.18462    0.1798     0.18954      0.0028116 0.0832       0.15054
> > 0.94327 0.070148   0.064754    0.075541   0.13
> > 21    0.12673      0.13747    0.46898      0.53401         0
0.1
> > 0.2      0.3      0.4      0.5      0.6      0.7      0.8
0.9
> >  1
> > V8.1    geps  NA   120000    20190302_120000 20190302_120000
000000
> >  20190302_120000 20190302_120000 PROB(GUST>15.000) Z10      GUST
Z10
> >  ANALYS FULL_BIN8  NEAREST     1
> >    ==0.10000   >15.       NA         0.05  PSTD       32646
11
> > 0.38256    0.3773     0.38784      0.0069155 0.14997      0.23621
> > 0.94531 0.093156   0.086045    0.10027    0.30
> > 259   0.29518      0.30999    0.69214      0.60562         0
0.1
> > 0.2      0.3      0.4      0.5      0.6      0.7      0.8
0.9
> >  1
> > V8.1    geps  NA   120000    20190302_120000 20190302_120000
000000
> >  20190302_120000 20190302_120000 PROB(GUST>15.000) Z10      GUST
Z10
> >  ANALYS FULL_BIN9  NEAREST     1
> >    ==0.10000   >15.       NA         0.05  PSTD       46344
11
> > 0.62496    0.62054    0.62935      0.020699  0.1318       0.23439
> > 0.92723 0.12328    0.11466     0.1319     0.52
> > 449   0.51502      0.53396    0.76495      0.47402         0
0.1
> > 0.2      0.3      0.4      0.5      0.6      0.7      0.8
0.9
> >  1
> > V8.1    geps  NA   120000    20190302_120000 20190302_120000
000000
> >  20190302_120000 20190302_120000 PROB(GUST>15.000) Z10      GUST
Z10
> >  ANALYS FULL_BIN10 NEAREST     1
> >    ==0.10000   >15.       NA         0.05  PSTD      113322
11
> > 0.84667    0.84456    0.84875      0.060455  0.065607     0.12982
> > 0.94008 0.12467    0.1172      0.13214    0.72
> > 577   0.71796      0.73359    0.82822      0.039683        0
0.1
> > 0.2      0.3      0.4      0.5      0.6      0.7      0.8
0.9
> >  1
> > V8.1    geps  NA   120000    20190302_120000 20190302_120000
000000
> >  20190302_120000 20190302_120000 PROB(GUST>25.000) Z10      GUST
Z10
> >  ANALYS FULL_BIN1  NEAREST     1
> >    ==0.10000   >25.       NA         0.05  PSTD        1202
11 0
> >       0          0.0031857    0.0027329 0            0         NA
> >  0.0027329  0.0011271   0.0043388  0.00
> > 25    0.00087391   0.0041261 -0.093178    NA               0
0.1
> > 0.2      0.3      0.4      0.5      0.6      0.7      0.8
0.9
> >  1
> > V8.1    geps  NA   120000    20190302_120000 20190302_120000
000000
> >  20190302_120000 20190302_120000 PROB(GUST>25.000) Z10      GUST
Z10
> >  ANALYS FULL_BIN2  NEAREST     1
> >    ==0.10000   >25.       NA         0.05  PSTD        1629
11 0
> >       0          0.0023526    0.0031139 0            0         NA
> >  0.0031139  0.0019357   0.0042921  0.00
> > 25    0.0013021    0.0036979 -0.24555     NA               0
0.1
> > 0.2      0.3      0.4      0.5      0.6      0.7      0.8
0.9
> >  1
> > V8.1    geps  NA   120000    20190302_120000 20190302_120000
000000
> >  20190302_120000 20190302_120000 PROB(GUST>25.000) Z10      GUST
Z10
> >  ANALYS FULL_BIN3  NEAREST     1
> >    ==0.10000   >25.       NA         0.05  PSTD        2923
11 0
> >       0          0.0013125    0.0030884 0            0         NA
> >  0.0030884  0.0024359   0.003741   0.00
> > 25    0.0018353    0.0031647 -0.23537     NA               0
0.1
> > 0.2      0.3      0.4      0.5      0.6      0.7      0.8
0.9
> >  1
> > V8.1    geps  NA   120000    20190302_120000 20190302_120000
000000
> >  20190302_120000 20190302_120000 PROB(GUST>25.000) Z10      GUST
Z10
> >  ANALYS FULL_BIN4  NEAREST     1
> >    ==0.10000   >25.       NA         0.05  PSTD        5664
11 0
> >       0          0.00067776   0.003298  0            0         NA
> >  0.003298   0.0029691   0.0036269  0.00
> > 25    0.0021601    0.0028399 -0.31921     NA               0
0.1
> > 0.2      0.3      0.4      0.5      0.6      0.7      0.8
0.9
> >  1
> > V8.1    geps  NA   120000    20190302_120000 20190302_120000
000000
> >  20190302_120000 20190302_120000 PROB(GUST>25.000) Z10      GUST
Z10
> >  ANALYS FULL_BIN5  NEAREST     1
> >    ==0.10000   >25.       NA         0.05  PSTD       10374
11 0
> >       2.7095e-20 0.00037016   0.002982  0            0         NA
> >  0.002982   0.0028046   0.0031593  0.00
> > 25    0.0023173    0.0026827 -0.19279     NA               0
0.1
> > 0.2      0.3      0.4      0.5      0.6      0.7      0.8
0.9
> >  1
> > V8.1    geps  NA   120000    20190302_120000 20190302_120000
000000
> >  20190302_120000 20190302_120000 PROB(GUST>25.000) Z10      GUST
Z10
> >  ANALYS FULL_BIN6  NEAREST     1
> >    ==0.10000   >25.       NA         0.05  PSTD       17403
11 0
> >       1.355e-20  0.00022069   0.0031263 0            0         NA
> >  0.0031263  0.0030258   0.0032268  0.00
> > 25    0.0023937    0.0026063 -0.25053     NA               0
0.1
> > 0.2      0.3      0.4      0.5      0.6      0.7      0.8
0.9
> >  1
> > V8.1    geps  NA   120000    20190302_120000 20190302_120000
000000
> >  20190302_120000 20190302_120000 PROB(GUST>25.000) Z10      GUST
Z10
> >  ANALYS FULL_BIN7  NEAREST     1
> >    ==0.10000   >25.       NA         0.05  PSTD       24358
11 0
> >       0          0.00015768   0.0037866 0            0         NA
> >  0.0037866  0.0037263   0.003847   0.00
> > 25    0.0024259    0.0025741 -0.51466     NA               0
0.1
> > 0.2      0.3      0.4      0.5      0.6      0.7      0.8
0.9
> >  1
> > V8.1    geps  NA   120000    20190302_120000 20190302_120000
000000
> >  20190302_120000 20190302_120000 PROB(GUST>25.000) Z10      GUST
Z10
> >  ANALYS FULL_BIN8  NEAREST     1
> >    ==0.10000   >25.       NA         0.05  PSTD       32646
11
> > 0.031275   0.029441   0.033219     0.0031403 0.0084167    0.030297
> >  0.86262 0.02502    0.023119    0.026921   0.03
> > 0647  0.028751     0.032543   0.18361      0.17416         0
0.1
> > 0.2      0.3      0.4      0.5      0.6      0.7      0.8
0.9
> >  1
> > V8.1    geps  NA   120000    20190302_120000 20190302_120000
000000
> >  20190302_120000 20190302_120000 PROB(GUST>25.000) Z10      GUST
Z10
> >  ANALYS FULL_BIN9  NEAREST     1
> >    ==0.10000   >25.       NA         0.05  PSTD       46344
11
> > 0.17105    0.16765    0.1745       0.033653  0.089951     0.14179
> > 0.91467 0.085492   0.081765    0.089218   0.15
> > 644   0.15265      0.16023    0.45353      0.39705         0
0.1
> > 0.2      0.3      0.4      0.5      0.6      0.7      0.8
0.9
> >  1
> > V8.1    geps  NA   120000    20190302_120000 20190302_120000
000000
> >  20190302_120000 20190302_120000 PROB(GUST>25.000) Z10      GUST
Z10
> >  ANALYS FULL_BIN10 NEAREST     1
> >    ==0.10000   >25.       NA         0.05  PSTD      113322
11
> > 0.36601    0.36321    0.36882      0.043789  0.14388      0.23205
> > 0.90658 0.13195    0.12831     0.13559    0.33
> > 191   0.32788      0.33594    0.60244      0.43135         0
0.1
> > 0.2      0.3      0.4      0.5      0.6      0.7      0.8
0.9
> >  1
> > V8.1    geps  NA   120000    20190302_120000 20190302_120000
000000
> >  20190302_120000 20190302_120000 PROB(GUST>35.000) Z10      GUST
Z10
> >  ANALYS FULL       NEAREST     1
> >    ==0.10000   >35.       NA         0.05  PSTD      259920
11
> > 0.053112   0.052257   0.053981     0.0069907 0.025567     0.050292
> >  0.81314 0.031715   0.030836    0.032594  NA
> >      NA           NA         NA            0.36938         0
0.1
> > 0.2      0.3      0.4      0.5      0.6      0.7      0.8
0.9
> >  1
> > V8.1    geps  NA   120000    20190302_120000 20190302_120000
000000
> >  20190302_120000 20190302_120000 PROB(GUST>50.000) Z10      GUST
Z10
> >  ANALYS FULL_BIN1  NEAREST     1
> >    ==0.10000   >50.       NA         0.05  PSTD        1202
11 0
> >       0          0.0031857    0.0025    0            0         NA
> >  0.0025     0.00087391  0.0041261  0.00
> > 25    0.00087391   0.0041261  0           NA               0
0.1
> > 0.2      0.3      0.4      0.5      0.6      0.7      0.8
0.9
> >  1
> > V8.1    geps  NA   120000    20190302_120000 20190302_120000
000000
> >  20190302_120000 20190302_120000 PROB(GUST>50.000) Z10      GUST
Z10
> >  ANALYS FULL_BIN2  NEAREST     1
> >    ==0.10000   >50.       NA         0.05  PSTD        1629
11 0
> >       0          0.0023526    0.0025    0            0         NA
> >  0.0025     0.0013021   0.0036979  0.00
> > 25    0.0013021    0.0036979  0           NA               0
0.1
> > 0.2      0.3      0.4      0.5      0.6      0.7      0.8
0.9
> >  1
> > V8.1    geps  NA   120000    20190302_120000 20190302_120000
000000
> >  20190302_120000 20190302_120000 PROB(GUST>50.000) Z10      GUST
Z10
> >  ANALYS FULL_BIN3  NEAREST     1
> >    ==0.10000   >50.       NA         0.05  PSTD        2923
11 0
> >       0          0.0013125    0.0025    0            0         NA
> >  0.0025     0.0018353   0.0031647  0.00
> > 25    0.0018353    0.0031647  0           NA               0
0.1
> > 0.2      0.3      0.4      0.5      0.6      0.7      0.8
0.9
> >  1
> > V8.1    geps  NA   120000    20190302_120000 20190302_120000
000000
> >  20190302_120000 20190302_120000 PROB(GUST>50.000) Z10      GUST
Z10
> >  ANALYS FULL_BIN4  NEAREST     1
> >    ==0.10000   >50.       NA         0.05  PSTD        5664
11 0
> >       0          0.00067776   0.0025    0            0         NA
> >  0.0025     0.0021601   0.0028399  0.00
> > 25    0.0021601    0.0028399  0           NA               0
0.1
> > 0.2      0.3      0.4      0.5      0.6      0.7      0.8
0.9
> >  1
> > V8.1    geps  NA   120000    20190302_120000 20190302_120000
000000
> >  20190302_120000 20190302_120000 PROB(GUST>50.000) Z10      GUST
Z10
> >  ANALYS FULL_BIN5  NEAREST     1
> >    ==0.10000   >50.       NA         0.05  PSTD       10374
11 0
> >       2.7095e-20 0.00037016   0.0025    0            0         NA
> >  0.0025     0.0023173   0.0026827  0.00
> > 25    0.0023173    0.0026827  0           NA               0
0.1
> > 0.2      0.3      0.4      0.5      0.6      0.7      0.8
0.9
> >  1
> > V8.1    geps  NA   120000    20190302_120000 20190302_120000
000000
> >  20190302_120000 20190302_120000 PROB(GUST>50.000) Z10      GUST
Z10
> >  ANALYS FULL_BIN6  NEAREST     1
> >    ==0.10000   >50.       NA         0.05  PSTD       17403
11 0
> >       1.355e-20  0.00022069   0.0025    0            0         NA
> >  0.0025     0.0023937   0.0026063  0.00
> > 25    0.0023937    0.0026063  0           NA               0
0.1
> > 0.2      0.3      0.4      0.5      0.6      0.7      0.8
0.9
> >  1
> > V8.1    geps  NA   120000    20190302_120000 20190302_120000
000000
> >  20190302_120000 20190302_120000 PROB(GUST>50.000) Z10      GUST
Z10
> >  ANALYS FULL_BIN7  NEAREST     1
> >    ==0.10000   >50.       NA         0.05  PSTD       24358
11 0
> >       0          0.00015768   0.0025    0            0         NA
> >  0.0025     0.0024259   0.0025741  0.00
> > 25    0.0024259    0.0025741  0           NA               0
0.1
> > 0.2      0.3      0.4      0.5      0.6      0.7      0.8
0.9
> >  1
> > V8.1    geps  NA   120000    20190302_120000 20190302_120000
000000
> >  20190302_120000 20190302_120000 PROB(GUST>50.000) Z10      GUST
Z10
> >  ANALYS FULL_BIN8  NEAREST     1
> >    ==0.10000   >50.       NA         0.05  PSTD       32646
11 0
> >       0          0.00011766   0.0025    0            0         NA
> >  0.0025     0.0024464   0.0025536  0.00
> > 25    0.0024464    0.0025536  0           NA               0
0.1
> > 0.2      0.3      0.4      0.5      0.6      0.7      0.8
0.9
> >  1
> > V8.1    geps  NA   120000    20190302_120000 20190302_120000
000000
> >  20190302_120000 20190302_120000 PROB(GUST>50.000) Z10      GUST
Z10
> >  ANALYS FULL_BIN9  NEAREST     1
> >    ==0.10000   >50.       NA         0.05  PSTD       46344
11 0
> >      -6.7757e-21 8.2883e-05   0.0025004 0            0         NA
> >  0.0025004  0.0024648   0.0025361  0.00
> > 25    0.0024644    0.0025356 -0.00017262  NA               0
0.1
> > 0.2      0.3      0.4      0.5      0.6      0.7      0.8
0.9
> >  1
> > V8.1    geps  NA   120000    20190302_120000 20190302_120000
000000
> >  20190302_120000 20190302_120000 PROB(GUST>50.000) Z10      GUST
Z10
> >  ANALYS FULL_BIN10 NEAREST     1
> >    ==0.10000   >50.       NA         0.05  PSTD      113322
11
> > 0.019564   0.018774   0.020387     0.0022826 0.0029183    0.019181
> >  0.59583 0.018545   0.017737    0.019353   0.02
> > 0107  0.0193       0.020914   0.077688     0.033144        0
0.1
> > 0.2      0.3      0.4      0.5      0.6      0.7      0.8
0.9
> >  1
> >
> > Thanks
> > Bob
> >
> >
>
>
>
>

------------------------------------------------


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