[Grad-postdoc-assn] March ASP Seminar: Greg Holland, Weds., 11 am
Clark Evans
evans at ucar.edu
Thu Mar 11 13:15:24 MST 2010
Hi all,
The ASP Seminar Series continues next Wednesday, March 17 with a
presentation by the director of NCAR's Earth System Laboratory (NESL),
Greg Holland. The title of Greg's seminar is "Climatic Trends and
Variability in Atlantic Hurricanes," the abstract for which may be found
below. The seminar will be held in FL2-1022 at 11 am with refreshments
served shortly beforehand. You all are also invited to lunch with Greg
in FL2-1003 immediately afterward, where Greg will be happy to chat with
you about research, the recent ESSL/NESL reorganization, or anything
else on your mind.
Please feel free to let me know if you have any questions. We look
forward to seeing you all next Wednesday morning!
The ASP Seminar Organizing Committee
-----
/*Abstract: */Changes in Atlantic hurricane activity on climatic
timescales, both from natural variability and anthropogenic impacts, has
generated a lot of discussion over recent years. Here I will first
outline some of the factors relating to hurricane changes and provide an
update on community assessments based on a recently published consensus
report from a WMO team. I will follow this with a presentation of recent
climate simulations here at NCAR to highlight both the difficulties and
pitfalls involved and the multiple approaches that can be adopted. Third
will be a general discussion of recent hurricane predictions and issues
arising. Finally, I will use an extreme value viewpoint to show how
logical it is to expect marked changes in weather extremes in general
(hurricanes in particular) with both climate variability and change.
Indeed the weather extremes may provide the best bellwether for
identifying climate change as it develops.
--
Clark Evans
Postdoctoral Fellow, ASP/MMM
National Center for Atmospheric Research
P.O. Box 3000, Boulder, CO 80307
E-mail: evans at ucar.edu
Phone: 303.497.8927
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