[Cowystats] CO/WY ASA Spring Meeting

Matt Pocernich pocernic at rap.ucar.edu
Wed Apr 18 12:19:26 MDT 2007

### Chapter Spring Meeting Friday April 20th
### National Center for Atmospheric Research Mesa Lab, Boulder
### Rick Katz Talk at School of Mines (April 27th)

Last note with a few new details for this Friday's meeting.  As
promised, the weather will be beautiful - partly sunny with a high
near 70. When you enter the Mesa lab, the security desk is immediately
on the right.  There will be a separate sign in sheet for the ASA
meeting.  The meeting is in the main lecture hall which is up the
stairs directly in front of you.  Here we will have name tags. Again,
there is no charge for this meeting.

Lunch is available in the NCAR cafeteria.  They have typical cafeteria
fare,  deli fare, several entre's including vegetarian, plus a salad
bar.  Lunch costs might range between $5-$8.  THEY DO NOT TAKE CREDIT 
CARDS !!! 

The schedule below will be followed.  



Once again the Spring Chapter meeting is being held at the National
Center for Atmospheric Research's beautiful NCAR lab.  Located in the
hills above Boulder, the setting for the meeting is alone worth the
trip.  More details about the lab are at
http://eo.ucar.edu/what/arch1.html .  We have talks covering a wide
variety of topics.  This reflects the wide variety of interests within
our group.  Again, if you are interested there is a tour of the Vislab
prior to the beginning of the talks.  Beautiful weather guaranteed. 


8:45 - 9:30             Coffee and Refreshments
9 - 9:30                Vislab Tour
9:30 - 9:45     	Welcome
9:45-10:15      	Ben Houston     Statistical Process Control
10:15-10:30     	Yu Yang (CSU)   Estimation for Non-negative 
	Levy-driven Ornstein-Uhlenbeck Processes
10:30-10:45     Bo Li (GSP)     
	The ``Hockey Stick" and the 1990s: A
	Statistical Perspective on Reconstructing Hemispheric Temperatures 
10:45 - 11:15   Break
11:15-12:00     Kari Caufman (UNC- SAMSI)
	Covariance Tapering for Likelihood Based  Estimation in Large 
		Spatial Datasets
12:00-12:15     Sonya Heltshe (UCHS)     
		Length-biased sampling in cancer screening with
			variable test sensitivity
12:15-1:15      Lunch
115-130 C       Chapter Activities
130-2:15        Hari Iyer (CSU)         
	Fiducial Inference of R. A. Fisher -- History, Applications, 
		and Generalizations
215-230         Brandi Wagner - Health Science  
	Permutation Based Adjustments for the Significance of Partial
	Regression Coefficients in Microarray Data Analysis 
230-245         Mark Labovitz (CU - Denver)     
	Simulating the Behavior of Target Maturity Funds 
245-3           Break
3-315           Ashlyn Hutchinson (Mines)       
	A Comparison of Methods to Determine Bioequivalence of Topical
		Dermatological Drug Products
3:15 - 4        Brian Wien (Gilead)             
	Multiple Comparisons in Clinical Trials for Regulatory Purposes 
4 - 5           Reception - beer and wine.


Directions to the Mesa lab are found below.  Also note that NCAR runs
a shuttle service that connects with RTD buses.  Contact me for
further details.  


### Rick Katz Seminar at School of Mines
"Assessing the quality and economic value of weather and climate forecasts"
3:00 pm in Chauvenet Hall 143,
For further information see


Much of the research on evaluating the quality and economic value of
imperfect information, such as forecasts, has been either performed
within the meteorological community or at least motivated by
meteorological applications. Perhaps the most noteworthy aspect is the
ability to produce well-calibrated probabilistic weather forecasts,
through a variety of objective and subjective approaches. I will point
out some connections to statistics, including the concept of
sufficiency. I will also present some valuation puzzles, illustrating
why it is so difficult to draw any general conclusions about the
economic value of weather and climate forecasts.


Richard W. Katz is a Senior Scientist in the Institute for Study of
Society and Environmental, National Center for Atmospheric Research,
Boulder. He received a Ph.D. in statistics from Pennsylvania State
University in 1974. He was one of the founders of NCAR's Geophysical
Statistics Project. His current interests include the application of the
statistical theory of extreme values to climate change.

Matt Pocernich
National Center for Atmospheric Research
Research Applications Laboratory
(303) 497-8312

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