[Wrf-users] Announcement of Opportunity
Pam Johnson
johnsonp at ucar.edu
Thu Feb 14 12:56:34 MST 2008
Announcement of Opportunity
With the WRF Developmental Testbed Center
The WRF Developmental Testbed Center (DTC) offers five to ten visitor
appointments for the year beginning June 1, 2008 for proposals received
by April 1, 2008. The DTC Visitor Program supports visitors to work with
the DTC to test new forecasting and verification techniques, models and
model components for numerical weather prediction. The goal is to
provide the operational weather prediction centers (i.e., NCEP, AFWA and
FNMOC) with options for near term advances in operational weather
forecasting and to provide researchers with NWP codes that represent the
latest advances in the technology. It also offers an opportunity for
visitors to introduce into the WRF system new NWP techniques that would
be of particular interest to the research community. Successful
applicants will be offered up to one month of salary compensation,
travel and per diem. The visitors are expected to visit with the DTC in
Boulder, Colorado or Monterey, California, or one of the operational
centers for one month. This one month can be distributed over several
weeks during a one year period. Access to DTC computational resources
will enable significant portions of the visitor’s project to be
conducted from their home institution.
*1.0 **The WRF Developmental **Testbed** **Center** (DTC)*
* *
The Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) program includes plans for
the rapid and direct transfer of new research results into the numerical
weather prediction (NWP) process of the National Weather Service (NWS)
and other operational NWP centers. It also includes plans for providing
the research community with the latest NWP technology and access to the
operational models for various research projects. The WRF effort
embodies the concept of the operational and research communities working
jointly toward development of next generation NWP capabilities that will
allow, as new techniques are developed in the research community, the
most promising results to be rapidly and efficiently transferred to
operations. **
* *
The DTC is a facility where the operational and research communities
work closely together to develop and test the next generation numerical
forecast systems. In the development process, researchers are invited to
work within the DTC with Center personnel and with members of the
operational community and for members of the operational community to
work with researchers to demonstrate the promise of new techniques in
NWP. In addition, members of both the operational and research
communities are able to evaluate the current operational models through
retrospective analysis and diagnosis of their strengths and weaknesses.
A key objective of the DTC is to offer the research community an
environment that is /functionally similar /to that used in operations to
test and evaluate new NWP methods, without interfering with actual
day-to-day operations of the operational centers.
The DTC is a distributed facility including components in Boulder,
Colorado and at the Naval Research Laboratory in Monterey, California;
the component in Boulder is referred to as the Boulder DTC and the
component in Monterey, California is referred to as the NRL DTC. In
addition, the Boulder DTC is composed of components at NOAA/GSD and
NCAR. The visitor could be associated with any of the three components;
those visiting Boulder would be primarily located at NCAR but would
interact with DTC personnel at both NCAR and GSD. In addition, since a
goal of the DTC is to transition research into operations, a visitor to
the DTC could also be associated with any of the operational centers
such as EMC at NCEP.
*2.0 **The WRF Code system*
* *
The WRF system consists of code contributed by developers from both the
research and operational components of NWP community. Each component of
this code has undergone different degrees of testing. The combinations
of the various components have also undergone different degrees of
testing The terminology used by the DTC to describe these levels of
testing as defined below.
*2.1 Contributed Code*
* *
Contributed Code is the code contained in the WRF system repository. The
main requirements for inclusion in this category are the code is
compliant with the WRF coding infrastructure and the technique addresses
a potential operational weather forecast need or advancement in NWP
technology. Contributed Code is made available to the community through
a code repository maintained by NCAR/MMM and the DTC, whereas the codes
are generally maintained by their authors. Visitors to the DTC could
conduct tests on components of the Contributed Code.
The WRF Contributed Code contains multiple dynamic cores (Nonhydrostatic
Mesoscale Model or NMM and the Advanced Research WRF or ARW), physics
options, pre and post processing systems and a verification toolkit.
Contributed Code will be expanded in the future to contain the
components for a hurricane WRF system, and data assimilation systems.
Eventually it may contain global forecast models. The DTC recently
released a new verification package called MET (Model Evaluation Tool),
which provides the capability to apply traditional, as well as more
advanced verification techniques. MET will also be expanded in the
future to include additional advanced verification techniques.
*2.2 Reference Configurations*
*/ /*
Reference Configurations are specific configurations of the WRF
Contributed Code that have been selected by the DTC though consultation
with its Advisory Board and its sponsors for extended testing and
evaluation. These tests are more extensive than the tests conducted for
new releases of the Contributed Code. Extensive verification statistics
are computed from the results of these tests including the statistical
significance of noted differences. These configurations can be used as
benchmarks for further testing and can provide guidance on the skill of
components of the WRF system. Visitors are encouraged to design tests
that build off the Reference Configurations if appropriate or perhaps
contribute to the evaluation of DTC Reference Configuration tests.
*2.3 Operational Configurations***
*/ /*
The Operational Configurations are the fully hardened, fully tested
configurations that are being run operationally at the various
operational centers. These configurations are maintained by the
Operational Testbed Centers (OTC) at the operational centers but made
available to the community through the DTC. The Operational
Configurations are a subset of the Reference Configurations and, as
such, are also candidates for researchers' attention at the DTC. A goal
of producing incremental upgrades to address weaknesses in existing
operational components will be viewed as a valid topic for applicants.
* *
*3.0 **How to Respond to this Announcement*
* *
A list of potential topics that are of interest to the DTC are outlined
in section 4.0. These are general and intended as suggestions for the
type of projects we will consider. Proposals for participation in the
visitor program should provide details on the specific work that the
visitor would conduct with the DTC. Past DTC Visitors are welcome to
submit proposals for new projects or projects that build on past work.
All proposals will be subjected to the same review process (see
description below). The submitted material should include the following:
· Project description including a title (up to 3 pages)
· Curriculum Vitae (1-2 pages)
· Budget for one month of salary for the PI and travel costs (1 page).
As noted above, it is expected that the visitor will spend one month
resident at one of the distributed DTC sites or operational centers and
that the total duration of the project can continue for one year. It is
expected that the visitor will be able to continue the work from his or
her own institution using DTC computational resources.
/ /
Proposals in response to this announcement should be sent by April 1,
2008 to
Pam Johnson
NCAR/DTC
P.O. Box 3000
Boulder, Colorado 80307
Express mail address: 3450 Mitchell Lane, Boulder, CO, 80301
Or send electronically to: johnsonp at ucar.edu
4.0 Possible Visitor Projects with the WRF DTC
This is a general announcement of an opportunity to work with the WRF
DTC to test existing WRF-based NWP systems in order to assess where they
are deficient and new NWP technology that shows promise of improving
numerical weather prediction within the next five years or provides the
WRF code system with new promising technology for research applications.
Potential topics include testing new physics parameterization
components, optimizing physics packages, investigating the interaction
between physics schemes, comparing dynamic cores, alternative
verification approaches, data assimilation systems (including
variational, ensemble-based, observation and analysis nudging and hybrid
approaches), as well as investigations of the impacts of resolution and
the tradeoffs between an ensemble versus a deterministic approach.
Some more specific suggested topics that would receive special
consideration include:
1. Physics parameterizations
1. Hurricanes: New/improved physics packages/parameterizations
are needed to better represent the convective-scale
environment of hurricanes. Projects leading to improving
and/or expanding the physics options available in WRF to
address the hurricane prediction problem are encouraged.
2. Boundary layer: A number of the new Planetary Boundary Layer
(PBL) schemes currently being tested by the community would
be welcome additions to the WRF system. A potential project
would be to add a new PBL scheme to the WRF physics options,
and test and compare this scheme with existing schemes both
in idealized one-dimensional cases, and in full NWP-type
simulations. This general topic area also includes the need
for new surface layer schemes for high-resolution regional
models that are rooted firmly in physics. One area in need
of special attention is shallow convection forced by
sensible heat flux at the surface. This testing could be
extended to seasonal verifications for statistical
evaluation using DTC datasets.
3. Physics interactions: The interactions between the physics
schemes in mesoscale models needs to be carefully
investigated. In particular, a better understanding of the
mutual feedbacks between radiation and cloud microphysics
and the interplay between radiation, cloud microphysics, and
parameterized convection is needed.
4. Land-Surface Model (LSM): The Noah LSM, one of the LSMs
currently available in WRF, is hard-wired to four vertical
computational soil layers. A potential project would be to
generalize this scheme to make the number of soil layers
adjustable.
2. Verification: A variety of projects focusing on advanced
verification methods would be of interest. Some examples include
the following:
1. Investigate verification approaches that are more
appropriate for providing model diagnostics than many
traditional approaches – that is, approaches that provide
information about particular attributes of model error that
can lead to a diagnosis of needed improvements in the model.
2. Apply verification approaches that allow incorporation of
observational uncertainty in model evaluations, and are able
to express this uncertainty in the resulting verification
measures. Demonstrate how this information can be separated
from other sources of uncertainty (e.g., sampling
variations) associated with estimates of verification
measures. For example, it would be of interest to
investigate the impacts of variations among different types
of analyses (e.g., for precipitation) used as verification
observations on variations in traditional and
non-traditional verification measures.
3. Apply new spatial verification methods for evaluation of
ensemble forecasts.
4. Incorporate the time dimension in a spatial verification
approach so that timing errors can be diagnosed, and
application of this approach to a variety of WRF cases.
5. Recent field studies offer an abundance of data that can be
used to diagnose strengths and weaknesses of NWP techniques.
A potential visitor project would be to organize the data
from these field studies into modules that can be used to
test certain physical parameterizations.
3. Ensemble prediction:
1. Ensemble system: The DTC plans to add an ensemble capability
to the suite of capabilities it provides to the user
community. The DTC would welcome visitors who want to assist
us in assembling an end-to-end ensemble modeling system
including components to generate an ensemble and post
processing components specific to ensemble systems.
2. Ensemble spread: Projects directed at improving the spread
of model forecasts are of interest to the DTC. Most
desirable are experiments in which lateral boundary
conditions are supplied by ensemble forecasts on a larger
geographical domain (perhaps global) than the regional grid.
The lateral boundaries should provide uncertainty in the
ensemble prediction as well as variations in the initial
conditions, physics packages, and dynamics.
4. Sensitivity to terrain
1. How much smoothing is "necessary" for the underlying terrain
in the WRF cores? The answer to this question will depend on
the inherent model smoothing and so may be core dependant. A
project addressing this question would provide valuable
guidance to both the operational and research communities.
2. Experiments can also be proposed for tests of the WRF model
investigating their sensitivity to terrain treatments such
as form drag and mountain blocking.
3. The development and testing of different numerical
approaches for treating the vertical propagation of wave
energy and damping of reflective gravity waves from the
model's top boundary are encouraged.
5. Sensitivity to vertical resolution: The effect of vertical
resolution on model forecast accuracy needs to be investigated.
Predictions of phenomena characterized by vertical variations in
static stability need to be examined as a function of model
vertical resolution (e.g. tropical cyclogenesis, cold air damming,
mountain waves, and surface wind forecasts.
6. Nesting: What is the value-added of including two-way interactive
nesting verses one way nesting? These tests should include both
WRF cores using standard verification scores for all nests
especially the coarsest parental nest to see if there is positive
feedback to the larger scales. Answers to this question are of
particular interest to the operational centers since in the future
operational global and mesoscale models will be run concurrently
and there is the choice of whether to build two-way nesting (so
the mesoscale model can feedback into global and therefore the two
models must be run together) or just a simple one-way coupler
(which may allow more flexible scheduling for the operational
model computations).
*/ /*
*5.0 Proposal Evaluation Process*
* *
The proposals submitted in response to this announcement will be subject
to both external and internal review. The external review will be
conducted by the DTC Advisory Board, which consists of atmospheric
scientists from government labs, operational centers, and academic
institutions. The DTC Director and Deputy Directors will make the final
selections based on the review by the Advisory Board.
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