[ISP] Seminar Reminder tomorrow
Christine Wiedinmyer
christin at ucar.edu
Tue May 18 14:42:05 MDT 2010
Modeling of Boreal Forest Fire Smoke and Contribution to Black Carbon
Loading and Deposition in the Arctic
David Lavoué
DL Modeling and Research
Brampton, Ontario
Wednesday, May 19, 2010
3:00 -- Refreshments & Socializing
3:30 -- Seminar
Foothills Lab 2, Room 1001
Abstract
Forest fires are frequently the main cause of poor air quality in the
Canadian western communities, such as British Columbia Interior in 2003.
In recent years, long-range transport of wildfire smoke plumes to urban
areas, for example Montreal and Toronto in 2002, resulted in
deteriorated air quality as well. A wildfire emission model based on the
Canadian Forest Fire Behaviour Prediction (FBP) System was applied to
forest fires in Canada from 2000 to 2004. Fire datasets were compiled
from records of provincial, territorial, and federal management
agencies. Fuel consumption was calculated hourly from forest fuel
patterns and meteorological conditions from the Canadian weather
forecast model GEM. The model estimated emissions of about 20 chemical
species such as greenhouse gases, VOCs, and PM. And injection heights
were calculated with the energy released during combustion.
In addition, a dynamic emission model was developed to calculate
wildfire growth and emissions at the horizontal resolution of a few
hundred meters for time steps < 1 hour. The fire front spread is
calculated with an elliptical wavelet propagation technique driven by
GEM weather. To improve air quality forecasts across Canada, the
wildfire dynamic emission model is currently being integrated in the new
Canadian air quality prediction model GEM-MACH15.
Finally, ten years of carbonaceous aerosol atmospheric transport were
simulated from 1995 to 2004 at 1x1 deg with the multi-scale air quality
modeling system GEM-AQ/EC. Monthly emission inventories from boreal
wildland fires were built from a combination of reports from fire
agencies and satellite products. For Canada, we used the 1995-1999 large
fire database (>200 ha) to complete the previous emission dataset
2000-2004. With respect to Alaska, Russia, and Mongolia, burn scars were
used to determine annual areas burned and monthly variability was
inferred from MODIS and ATSR fire pixels. GEM-AQ/EC was run with
constant anthropogenic emissions of the 1990's. The relative
contribution of boreal wildland fires to monthly black carbon loading
was calculated for different Arctic regions. Deposition on Arctic sea
ice and Greenland was also quantified.
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