<HTML>
<HEAD>
<TITLE>High-Resolution realtime WRF Modeling results for summer 2003-2004</TITLE>
</HEAD>
<BODY>
<FONT FACE="Verdana, Helvetica, Arial"><SPAN STYLE='font-size:12.0px'>To all:<BR>
<BR>
Pete Bogenschutz did the detailed analysis of the Coastal Storms Initiative local modeling project, which funded a realtime high resolution (5 km) WRF (now ARW version) model. The model was installed at WFO JAX (with the FSL LAPS “hot start” initialization).<BR>
Pete did detailed verification and analysis as his Master’s Thesis. He used the more modern feature-based methods; the convective rain area method from Ebert and McBride (2000), and the contour error method of Case and Manobianco (2000). Results are impressive, particularly when compared to the concurrent 12 km ETA.<BR>
<BR>
The good news is, his thesis is available online (watch your bandwidth available). <BR>
<BR>
<FONT COLOR="#0000FF"><a href="http://etd.lib.fsu.edu/theses/available/etd-11122004-131729/">http://etd.lib.fsu.edu/theses/available/etd-11122004-131729/</a><BR>
</FONT><BR>
Here (At UNF, now with Florida Lambda Rail) it took less than two seconds to download the 179 pages with graphics. <BR>
That is not all that impressive unless you have been in a WFO.<BR>
<BR>
Some hurricane results for the Florida Hurricanes can be found at the OFCM website for the 59th IHC:<BR>
<BR>
<FONT COLOR="#0000FF"><a href="http://www.ofcm.gov/ihc05/linking_file_ihc05.htm">http://www.ofcm.gov/ihc05/linking_file_ihc05.htm</a><BR>
</FONT><BR>
Look at the last two talks in session 2 by Welsh(UNF) /Bogenschutz(FSU) and Chris Davis (UCAR) et al. <BR>
<BR>
<BR>
Regards, <BR>
<BR>
Dr. Pat Welsh<BR>
Advanced Weather Information Systems Laboratory<BR>
University of North Florida</SPAN></FONT>
</BODY>
</HTML>