[Wrf-users] Papers for IPCC AR5 Ch12 - Long term Climate Change Projections, Commitments and Irreversibility

Collins, Matthew M.Collins at exeter.ac.uk
Fri Jan 14 09:12:51 MST 2011

Dear Colleagues,

We would like you to send us any papers you have submitted, in press or have recently published that are relevant for the forthcoming IPCC WG1 AR5 Chapter 12  "Long term Climate Change: Projections, Commitments and Irreversibility". An outline of the Chapter is included below. Please send all papers to reto.knutti at env.etchz.ch and he will arrange to hold them in a central place and pass them on to the relevant Lead Author.

Also, please do keep us up-to-date on the progress of papers and send revised versions via Reto. Papers need to be submitted by July 31 2012 and accepted by 15 March 2013 in order to be cited in the report. Note however that there is no guarantee that your paper will be cited even if you send it to us.

Please feel free to pass this message on to any of your colleagues we may have missed. Apologies if you get more than one copy.

Best wishes, IPCC WG1 AR5 Chapter 12 authors

Chapter 12 Outline
1    General introduction
	1.2.   Uncertainties in the chain from emissions to projections
2.   Projected changes in emissions, concentrations and radiative forcing
	2.1.   Description of scenarios
	2.2.   Implementation of scenarios and forcings in CMIP5
3.   Projected changes over the 21st century
	3.1.   Time-evolving global quantities
	3.2.   Changes in temperature and energy budget
	3.3.   Changes in the Water Cycle
	3.4.   Changes in Atmospheric Circulation
	3.5.   Pattern scaling 
	3.6.   Changes in high-latitude climate and cryosphere
	3.7.   Changes in the ocean
	3.8.   Consistency and main differences CMIP3/CMIP5 and SRES/RCP
	3.9.   Changes associated with biogeochemical feedbacks
4.   Global measures of climate sensitivity and transient response
	4.1.   Estimates based on climatology, ranges of CMIP5 and comparison to earlier CMIPs
	4.2.   Forcing and response, timescales of feedbacks 
5.   Long Term Climate Change, Commitment and Irreversibility 
	5.1.   RCP extensions 
	5.2.   Commitment
	5.3.   Climate stabilization 
	5.4.   Abrupt change and irreversibility 

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