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<font size="+1">Note: Access to the WebEx webcasts is currently limited
to 25 participants. In anticipation of a possible large remote audience
for this seminar:<br>
<br>
1. Where possible, remote participants are encouraged to access
WebEx as small groups
rather than indivi</font><font size="+1">dually.<br>
<br>
2. If you are unable to connect to WebEx, you can view the seminar
file on the JCSDA website (details below) while listening to the audio
via the conference call. <br>
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-align: right;" align="right"><b><span
style="font-size: 14pt;"> </span></b><o:p></o:p></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-align: center;" align="center"><b><span
style="font-size: 36pt; font-family: Cambria; color: rgb(108, 63, 181);">JCSDA
Seminar</span></b><o:p></o:p></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-align: right;" align="right"><b><span
style="font-size: 14pt;">Title</span></b><o:p></o:p></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal" style=""><b style=""><span
style="font-size: 20pt;">Current ECMWF Research and Development<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-align: right;" align="right"><b><span
style="font-size: 14pt;">Speaker</span></b><o:p></o:p></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal" style=""><b><span style="font-size: 16pt;">Prof.
Erland Källén<br>
</span></b><b><span style="font-size: 14pt;">Head of Research,
ECMWF</span></b><o:p></o:p></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-align: right;" align="right"><b><span
style="font-size: 14pt;">Date, Time & Place</span></b><o:p></o:p></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal" style=""><st1:date month="2" day="5"
year="2010"><b><span style="font-size: 16pt;">Friday, Feb. 5, 2010</span></b></st1:date><b><span
style="font-size: 16pt;"><br>
</span></b><st1:time hour="13" minute="0">1:00 – 2:00 P.M.</st1:time><br>
World Weather Building, <b><span style="color: red;">Room 707</span></b>,
<st1:address><st1:Street>5200 Auth Road</st1:Street>, <st1:City>Camp
Springs</st1:City>, <st1:State>MD</st1:State> <st1:PostalCode>20746</st1:PostalCode></st1:address><o:p></o:p></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-align: right;" align="right"><b><span
style="font-size: 14pt;">Abstract</span></b><o:p></o:p></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-align: justify;">The ECMWF
forecasting system continues to be world leading in terms of forecast
performance in the medium range. Both the deterministic and
probabilistic forecast products are continuously improved; in early
2010 a new model version with an increased spatial resolution is being
introduced, which will help to maintain the positive performance
trends. Research is focused on new data assimilation techniques,
improved description of physical processes and development of enhanced
ensemble prediction methods. Monthly and seasonal forecasts are also
produced; the current El Nino event was predicted more than a year ago.
Re-analyses are regularly produced and updated. In recent years the
re-analysis shows global temperature trends over land areas that are
significantly warmer than results from other data sets suggest.<span
style="font-size: 11pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-align: right;" align="right"><b><span
style="font-size: 14pt;">Remote Access</span></b><o:p></o:p></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal" style=""><b>Video:</b> 1. <span
style="font-size: 10pt; font-family: Arial;">Click on <a
href="https://star-nesdis-noaa.webex.com/star-nesdis-noaa/j.php?ED=131857502&UID=913887622&PW=a682fa461a0c030b0021553a513c313d421d0102">JCSDA
Seminar</a><br>
2. Enter your name and email address.</span><br>
2. Enter your name and email address. <br>
3. Enter the meeting password: JCSDAseminar2010 <br>
4. Click "Join Now". <br>
5. Follow the instructions that appear on your screen.<span
style="font-size: 10pt; font-family: Arial;"> <br>
</span><b>Audio: </b><st1:country-region><st1:place>USA</st1:place></st1:country-region>
participants: 1-866-715-2479, Passcode: 9457557<br>
International: 1-517-345-5260<o:p></o:p></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-align: right;" align="right"><b><span
style="font-size: 14pt;">Contact</span></b><o:p></o:p></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="">George Ohring, <a
href="mailto:George.Ohring@noaa.gov">George.Ohring@noaa.gov</a><o:p></o:p></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-align: right;" align="right"><b><span
style="font-size: 14pt;">Seminar File</span></b><o:p></o:p></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="">Available at <a
href="http://www.jcsda.noaa.gov/JCSDASeminars.php">http://www.jcsda.noaa.gov/JCSDASeminars.php</a>
the day before the talk.<o:p></o:p></p>
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