<html><head><meta http-equiv="Content-Type" content="text/html charset=us-ascii"></head><body style="word-wrap: break-word; -webkit-nbsp-mode: space; -webkit-line-break: after-white-space; "><div style="text-align: left;">Deal all,</div><div style="text-align: left;"><br></div><div style="text-align: left;">The next ASP seminar (the last spring seminar) by Dr. Jim Hurrell (NCAR director) will be on May 28th (next Wed.) 11:00 am, at the Mesa Lab main seminar room.</div><div><div style="text-align: left;">There will be a lunch with the speaker in the ML cafeteria after the seminar.</div><div><div style="text-align: left;"><br></div><div style="text-align: left;"><br></div><div style="text-align: left;">Below is the title and abstract of his talk.</div>
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<!--StartFragment--><p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="text-align: left;">Climate Predictions and Projections in the Coming Decades: Uncertainty
due to Natural Variability</p><div><p class="MsoNormal" style="text-align:justify;text-justify:inter-ideograph">Future
climate change at local and regional scales will result from a combination of
human and natural factors. In this talk I show that unpredictable, internally
generated climate fluctuations make a substantial contribution to climate
trends projected for the next 50 years over North America and Europe. Results
are based on large ensembles of climate change integrations with the Community
Earth System Model (CESM). I also will show that the large-scale atmospheric
circulation is responsible for much of the diversity in climate change
projections across the individual ensemble members. I will conclude by
discussing some implications of the results for model validation, inter-model
comparisons, and interpretation of observed climate trends.</p><div><span style="line-height: 21px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); ">This seminar will be live-streamed at </span><a href="http://www.fin.ucar.edu/it/mms/ml-live.htm" style="text-decoration: none; line-height: 21px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); ">http://www.fin.ucar.edu/it/mms/ml-live.htm</a>, and <span style="line-height: 21px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); ">recorded with the link available afterwards at </span><a href="http://www.asp.ucar.edu/" style="text-decoration: none; line-height: 21px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); ">www.asp.ucar.edu</a>.</div></div></div></div><div><br></div></body></html>