[Grad-postdoc-assn] ASP seminar by Dr. Jim Hurrell - tomorrow 11:00am at ML

Hyeyum Shin hshin at ucar.edu
Tue May 27 09:21:12 MDT 2014


This is a reminder for the ASP seminar by Dr. Jim Hurrell (NCAR director), tomorrow 11:00 am at the Mesa Lab main seminar room.
There will be a lunch with Jim in the ML cafeteria after the seminar.


Below is the title and abstract of his talk.
Climate Predictions and Projections in the Coming Decades: Uncertainty due to Natural Variability

Future climate change at local and regional scales will result from a combination of human and natural factors. In this talk I show that unpredictable, internally generated climate fluctuations make a substantial contribution to climate trends projected for the next 50 years over North America and Europe. Results are based on large ensembles of climate change integrations with the Community Earth System Model (CESM). I also will show that the large-scale atmospheric circulation is responsible for much of the diversity in climate change projections across the individual ensemble members. I will conclude by discussing some implications of the results for model validation, inter-model comparisons, and interpretation of observed climate trends.

This seminar will be live-streamed at http://www.fin.ucar.edu/it/mms/ml-live.htm, and recorded with the link available afterwards at www.asp.ucar.edu.
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